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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Prva A Liga Montenegro · 16
PljevljaHOME · -
62 : 632024.03.11 · 종료
Lovcen CetinjeAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME35.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY64.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK AWAY 57.6% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +64.4%
VALUE EDGE+64.4%
FAIR ODDS1.55
GRADEA
PljevljaAnalysis MetricsLovcen Cetinje
8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
-20.33 Point MarginHigher is better -9.50
169.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 168.83
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
4.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.2 / 15
Prediction separation12.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
35.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
64.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Pljevlja
L · 85-82W · 78-76L · 67-73L · 85-62L · 76-85
Lovcen Cetinje
W · 72-71L · 80-67W · 67-73W · 68-79W · 71-51

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.03.11Pljevlja62 : 63Lovcen Cetinje
2024.02.19Pljevlja67 : 73Lovcen Cetinje
2023.12.17Lovcen Cetinje84 : 75Pljevlja
2023.11.16Lovcen Cetinje95 : 75Pljevlja