Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva A Liga
Montenegro · 16
Ibar RozajeHOME · -
101 : 842024.03.11 · 종료
DanilovgradAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME44.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY55.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+55.3%
VALUE EDGE+55.3%
FAIR ODDS1.81
GRADEA
Ibar RozajeAnalysis MetricsDanilovgrad
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+3.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.08
164.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
161.58
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
4.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.0 / 15
Prediction separation4.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ibar Rozaje
L · 80-71L · 67-76L · 63-76L · 71-51L · 56-95
Danilovgrad
L · 94-104L · 94-123L · 82-113L · 102-84L · 110-96
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.03.11 | Ibar Rozaje | 101 : 84 | Danilovgrad |
| 2023.12.17 | Danilovgrad | 79 : 76 | Ibar Rozaje |