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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Prva A Liga Montenegro · 6
PljevljaHOME · -
74 : 952024.01.11 · 종료
TivatAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME15.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY84.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK AWAY 84.0% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +84.4%
VALUE EDGE+84.4%
FAIR ODDS1.19
GRADEA
PljevljaAnalysis MetricsTivat
8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
-20.17 Point MarginHigher is better -11.92
166.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 151.75
14.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
13.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 13.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
15.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
84.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Pljevlja
L · 107-74L · 86-91L · 84-75L · 107-82L · 65-109
Tivat
W · 78-73W · 86-102W · 101-88W · 58-77W · 95-84

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.04.01Tivat103 : 84Pljevlja
2024.01.11Pljevlja74 : 95Tivat