Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Prva A Liga Montenegro · 5

TivatHOME · -

78 : 732023.12.29 · 종료

PodgoricaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME48.3%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY51.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK AWAY 52.4% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +51.7%

VALUE EDGE+51.7%

FAIR ODDS1.94

GRADEB

TivatAnalysis MetricsPodgorica

25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

-11.92 Point MarginHigher is better +4.75

151.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 152.08

50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%

6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement10.5 / 15

Prediction separation1.4 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

48.3%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

51.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Tivat

W · 86-102W · 101-88W · 58-77W · 95-84D · 92-92

Podgorica

W · 81-73W · 61-82W · 85-78W · 79-94L · 82-83

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.03.28	Podgorica	81 : 69	Tivat
2023.12.29	Tivat	78 : 73	Podgorica
2023.01.15	Podgorica	93 : 73	Tivat
2022.10.09	Tivat	76 : 71	Podgorica