Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Prva A Liga Montenegro · 4

DecicHOME · -

105 : 742023.12.24 · 종료

DanilovgradAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME83.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY16.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 84.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +83.2%

VALUE EDGE+83.2%

FAIR ODDS1.20

GRADEB

DecicAnalysis MetricsDanilovgrad

25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

-8.08 Point MarginHigher is better -5.67

166.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 160.50

0.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%

5.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement3.3 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

83.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

16.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Decic

L · 101-88L · 79-91L · 83-76L · 91-98W · 71-100

Danilovgrad

W · 79-76L · 99-79L · 95-84L · 92-52L · 108-77

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.10.26	Decic	71 : 76	Danilovgrad
2024.03.17	Danilovgrad	84 : 79	Decic
2023.12.24	Decic	105 : 74	Danilovgrad
2023.03.26	Danilovgrad	74 : 103	Decic
2022.12.11	Decic	114 : 53	Danilovgrad