Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva A Liga
Montenegro · 3
DanilovgradHOME · -
79 : 762023.12.17 · 종료
Ibar RozajeAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME72.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY27.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 72.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+72.8%
VALUE EDGE+72.8%
FAIR ODDS1.37
GRADEB
DanilovgradAnalysis MetricsIbar Rozaje
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-5.67
Point MarginHigher is better
+5.75
160.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
167.92
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
10.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Danilovgrad
L · 99-79L · 95-84L · 92-52L · 108-77L · 74-103
Ibar Rozaje
L · 58-77L · 97-70L · 0-20L · 20-0L · 0-20
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.03.11 | Ibar Rozaje | 101 : 84 | Danilovgrad |
| 2023.12.17 | Danilovgrad | 79 : 76 | Ibar Rozaje |