Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
LNBP
Mexico · LNBP - Final
AstrosHOME · -
79 : 842022.10.25 · 종료
AbejasAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME62.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY37.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+62.7%
VALUE EDGE+62.7%
FAIR ODDS1.59
GRADES
AstrosAnalysis MetricsAbejas
83.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+6.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-6.17
166.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
169.17
87.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
1.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.4 / 15
Prediction separation10.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Astros
L · 77-85W · 102-70W · 118-93L · 98-80W · 77-104
Abejas
W · 77-85W · 99-81W · 101-92W · 72-88W · 77-84
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022.10.29 | Abejas | 79 : 72 | Astros |
| 2022.10.28 | Abejas | 89 : 83 | Astros |
| 2022.10.25 | Astros | 79 : 84 | Abejas |
| 2022.10.24 | Astros | 77 : 85 | Abejas |
| 2022.08.14 | Abejas | 94 : 83 | Astros |
| 2022.08.13 | Abejas | 89 : 91 | Astros |
| 2021.11.01 | Abejas | 91 : 101 | Astros |
| 2021.10.31 | Abejas | 72 : 84 | Astros |
| 2021.10.28 | Astros | 101 : 93 | Abejas |
| 2021.10.23 | Abejas | 80 : 106 | Astros |