Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
LNBP
Mexico · LNBP - Semi-finals
DoradosHOME · -
72 : 882022.10.11 · 종료
AbejasAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME53.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY46.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+53.1%
VALUE EDGE+53.1%
FAIR ODDS1.88
GRADEA
DoradosAnalysis MetricsAbejas
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-0.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-6.17
182.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
169.17
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
1.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.7 / 15
Prediction separation2.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Dorados
L · 77-84W · 87-74W · 71-84W · 69-100L · 90-83
Abejas
W · 77-84W · 87-77W · 79-98L · 84-82W · 88-97
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022.10.15 | Abejas | 99 : 81 | Dorados |
| 2022.10.14 | Abejas | 101 : 92 | Dorados |
| 2022.10.11 | Dorados | 72 : 88 | Abejas |
| 2022.10.10 | Dorados | 77 : 84 | Abejas |
| 2022.08.25 | Abejas | 89 : 94 | Dorados |
| 2022.08.24 | Abejas | 104 : 69 | Dorados |
| 2021.10.03 | Abejas | 75 : 76 | Dorados |
| 2021.10.01 | Abejas | 87 : 79 | Dorados |
| 2021.09.04 | Dorados | 67 : 68 | Abejas |
| 2021.09.03 | Dorados | 81 : 74 | Abejas |