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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

LNBP Mexico · LNBP - Quarter-finals
AstrosHOME · -
105 : 812022.10.06 · 종료
SolesAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME84.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY15.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 84.2% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +84.7%
VALUE EDGE+84.7%
FAIR ODDS1.18
GRADEA
AstrosAnalysis MetricsSoles
83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 83.3%
+6.33 Point MarginHigher is better +17.92
166.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 160.75
87.5% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 75.0%
3.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
84.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
15.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Astros
W · 73-83L · 94-83L · 78-67W · 111-70W · 97-76
Soles
L · 73-83W · 94-83W · 78-67L · 111-70L · 97-76

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.11.13Soles85 : 66Astros
2026.09.13Astros81 : 74Soles
2026.09.12Astros76 : 90Soles
2022.10.06Astros105 : 81Soles
2022.10.03Soles73 : 83Astros
2022.10.01Soles94 : 83Astros
2022.09.30Soles78 : 67Astros
2022.09.27Astros111 : 70Soles
2022.09.26Astros97 : 76Soles
2022.08.26Soles59 : 75Astros