Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
LNBP
Mexico · LNBP - Quarter-finals
LibertadoresHOME · -
88 : 972022.09.30 · 종료
AbejasAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME51.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY48.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+51.3%
VALUE EDGE+51.3%
FAIR ODDS1.95
GRADEA
LibertadoresAnalysis MetricsAbejas
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+1.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-6.17
180.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
169.17
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.1 / 15
Prediction separation1.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Libertadores
W · 87-95L · 94-73L · 98-82W · 87-103W · 83-87
Abejas
L · 87-95W · 94-73W · 82-88L · 91-87W · 87-69
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022.10.06 | Abejas | 87 : 77 | Libertadores |
| 2022.10.03 | Libertadores | 79 : 98 | Abejas |
| 2022.10.01 | Libertadores | 84 : 82 | Abejas |
| 2022.09.30 | Libertadores | 88 : 97 | Abejas |
| 2022.09.27 | Abejas | 87 : 95 | Libertadores |
| 2022.09.26 | Abejas | 94 : 73 | Libertadores |
| 2022.07.31 | Abejas | 72 : 91 | Libertadores |
| 2022.07.30 | Abejas | 109 : 80 | Libertadores |
| 2021.10.14 | Abejas | 79 : 81 | Libertadores |
| 2021.10.13 | Abejas | 86 : 96 | Libertadores |