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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

LNBP Mexico
Fuerza RegiaHOME · -
74 : 882022.09.22 · 종료
PlaterosAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME69.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY30.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 67.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +69.9%
VALUE EDGE+69.9%
FAIR ODDS1.43
GRADES
Fuerza RegiaAnalysis MetricsPlateros
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
-0.33 Point MarginHigher is better -9.33
177.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 168.83
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 14.3%
1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
69.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
30.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Fuerza Regia
W · 100-86W · 86-78W · 92-88W · 92-100L · 80-78
Plateros
L · 100-86L · 87-69L · 88-77L · 92-100W · 80-78

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.09.22Fuerza Regia74 : 88Plateros
2022.09.21Fuerza Regia100 : 86Plateros
2022.09.11Plateros92 : 100Fuerza Regia
2022.09.10Plateros80 : 78Fuerza Regia
2021.11.15Fuerza Regia96 : 92Plateros
2021.11.12Plateros85 : 82Fuerza Regia
2021.11.11Plateros83 : 86Fuerza Regia
2021.11.08Fuerza Regia84 : 69Plateros
2021.11.07Fuerza Regia92 : 95Plateros
2021.10.09Plateros82 : 84Fuerza Regia