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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

LNBP Mexico
SolesHOME · -
91 : 872022.09.21 · 종료
AbejasAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME44.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY55.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 54.0% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +55.1%
VALUE EDGE+55.1%
FAIR ODDS1.81
GRADEA
SolesAnalysis MetricsAbejas
83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
+17.92 Point MarginHigher is better -6.17
160.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 169.17
87.5% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%
3.3일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.1 / 15
Prediction separation4.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
44.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
55.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Soles
L · 86-78L · 92-88L · 75-94L · 75-89W · 72-100
Abejas
W · 87-69W · 88-77L · 90-87W · 86-90L · 88-77

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.23Abejas70 : 92Soles
2026.10.20Soles100 : 60Abejas
2026.10.19Soles102 : 58Abejas
2022.09.22Soles82 : 88Abejas
2022.09.21Soles91 : 87Abejas
2022.07.23Abejas64 : 87Soles
2022.07.22Abejas90 : 76Soles
2021.10.18Soles94 : 85Abejas
2021.10.17Soles86 : 80Abejas
2021.09.20Abejas95 : 86Soles