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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

LNBP Mexico
AstrosHOME · -
98 : 912022.09.04 · 종료
LibertadoresAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME77.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY22.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 78.1% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +77.5%
VALUE EDGE+77.5%
FAIR ODDS1.29
GRADEA
AstrosAnalysis MetricsLibertadores
83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
+6.33 Point MarginHigher is better -0.33
166.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 181.17
87.5% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%
0.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
77.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
22.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Astros
W · 113-89W · 59-75W · 72-88W · 93-82W · 82-70
Libertadores
L · 113-89L · 80-88W · 94-80W · 94-85L · 80-86

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.09.04Astros98 : 91Libertadores
2022.09.03Astros113 : 89Libertadores
2021.10.10Libertadores89 : 102Astros
2021.10.09Libertadores99 : 84Astros
2021.09.10Astros89 : 92Libertadores
2021.09.09Astros100 : 97Libertadores
2019.12.09Libertadores78 : 83Astros
2019.12.07Libertadores88 : 96Astros
2019.10.14Astros77 : 74Libertadores
2019.10.11Astros85 : 75Libertadores