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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

LNBP Mexico
Fuerza RegiaHOME · -
87 : 1012022.09.03 · 종료
AbejasAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME65.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY35.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 67.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +65.0%
VALUE EDGE+65.0%
FAIR ODDS1.54
GRADEA
Fuerza RegiaAnalysis MetricsAbejas
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-0.33 Point MarginHigher is better -6.17
177.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 169.17
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%
8.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 9.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.2 / 15
Prediction separation12.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
65.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
35.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Fuerza Regia
L · 83-62L · 95-90L · 100-80W · 75-77W · 101-98
Abejas
L · 89-94W · 104-69W · 87-109L · 84-73W · 94-83

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.08.31Fuerza Regia75 : 76Abejas
2026.08.30Fuerza Regia95 : 84Abejas
2022.09.04Fuerza Regia88 : 77Abejas
2022.09.03Fuerza Regia87 : 101Abejas