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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

LNBP Mexico
AbejasHOME · -
89 : 942022.08.25 · 종료
DoradosAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME54.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY45.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 52.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +54.4%
VALUE EDGE+54.4%
FAIR ODDS1.84
GRADEA
AbejasAnalysis MetricsDorados
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-6.17 Point MarginHigher is better -0.83
169.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 182.83
40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.5 / 15
Prediction separation3.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
54.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
45.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Abejas
W · 104-69W · 87-109L · 84-73W · 94-83L · 89-91
Dorados
L · 104-69W · 100-80L · 75-77W · 61-86L · 76-50

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.10.15Abejas99 : 81Dorados
2022.10.14Abejas101 : 92Dorados
2022.10.11Dorados72 : 88Abejas
2022.10.10Dorados77 : 84Abejas
2022.08.25Abejas89 : 94Dorados
2022.08.24Abejas104 : 69Dorados
2021.10.03Abejas75 : 76Dorados
2021.10.01Abejas87 : 79Dorados
2021.09.04Dorados67 : 68Abejas
2021.09.03Dorados81 : 74Abejas