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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

LNBP Mexico
CorrecaminosHOME · -
84 : 732022.08.18 · 종료
AbejasAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME41.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY58.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK AWAY 54.0% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +58.8%
VALUE EDGE+58.8%
FAIR ODDS1.70
GRADEA
CorrecaminosAnalysis MetricsAbejas
8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-14.75 Point MarginHigher is better -6.17
175.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 169.17
12.5% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%
4.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.4 / 15
Prediction separation7.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
41.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
58.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Correcaminos
L · 101-98L · 104-86L · 79-84L · 94-99L · 103-79
Abejas
W · 94-83L · 89-91L · 91-89W · 79-81L · 72-91

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.08Correcaminos89 : 95Abejas
2026.10.07Correcaminos76 : 98Abejas
2022.08.19Correcaminos87 : 109Abejas
2022.08.18Correcaminos84 : 73Abejas