Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
LNBP
Mexico
AbejasHOME · -
89 : 912022.08.13 · 종료
AstrosAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME27.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY72.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 73.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+72.6%
VALUE EDGE+72.6%
FAIR ODDS1.38
GRADES
AbejasAnalysis MetricsAstros
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
-6.17
Point MarginHigher is better
+6.33
169.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
166.50
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
75.0%
6.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Abejas
L · 91-89W · 79-81L · 72-91W · 109-80L · 64-87
Astros
L · 66-71W · 90-89L · 85-81L · 83-79W · 99-53
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022.10.29 | Abejas | 79 : 72 | Astros |
| 2022.10.28 | Abejas | 89 : 83 | Astros |
| 2022.10.25 | Astros | 79 : 84 | Abejas |
| 2022.10.24 | Astros | 77 : 85 | Abejas |
| 2022.08.14 | Abejas | 94 : 83 | Astros |
| 2022.08.13 | Abejas | 89 : 91 | Astros |
| 2021.11.01 | Abejas | 91 : 101 | Astros |
| 2021.10.31 | Abejas | 72 : 84 | Astros |
| 2021.10.28 | Astros | 101 : 93 | Abejas |
| 2021.10.23 | Abejas | 80 : 106 | Astros |