Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
LNBP
Mexico
AstrosHOME · -
90 : 892022.08.06 · 종료
Fuerza RegiaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME64.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY35.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+64.3%
VALUE EDGE+64.3%
FAIR ODDS1.56
GRADES
AstrosAnalysis MetricsFuerza Regia
83.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+6.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-0.33
166.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
177.67
87.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
37.5%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.9 / 15
Prediction separation12.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Astros
L · 85-81L · 83-79W · 99-53W · 106-72W · 91-87
Fuerza Regia
W · 76-64W · 84-77W · 80-93W · 85-81W · 85-73
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.04 | Fuerza Regia | 77 : 82 | Astros |
| 2026.11.03 | Fuerza Regia | 69 : 83 | Astros |
| 2026.10.31 | Astros | 86 : 84 | Fuerza Regia |
| 2026.10.30 | Astros | 96 : 89 | Fuerza Regia |
| 2026.10.04 | Astros | 101 : 87 | Fuerza Regia |
| 2026.10.03 | Astros | 74 : 77 | Fuerza Regia |
| 2022.08.07 | Astros | 66 : 71 | Fuerza Regia |
| 2022.08.06 | Astros | 90 : 89 | Fuerza Regia |
| 2021.11.23 | Fuerza Regia | 85 : 81 | Astros |
| 2021.11.22 | Fuerza Regia | 85 : 73 | Astros |