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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

LNBP Mexico
DoradosHOME · -
83 : 792022.07.29 · 종료
AstrosAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME37.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY62.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK AWAY 57.9% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +62.4%
VALUE EDGE+62.4%
FAIR ODDS1.60
GRADEA
DoradosAnalysis MetricsAstros
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 83.3%
-0.83 Point MarginHigher is better +6.33
182.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 165.83
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 60.0%
5.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.3일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.2 / 15
Prediction separation10.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
37.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
62.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Dorados
W · 84-97W · 82-83L · 79-69L · 88-77W · 96-76
Astros
W · 99-53W · 106-72W · 91-87W · 72-84W · 72-80

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.09.21Astros77 : 79Dorados
2022.07.30Dorados85 : 81Astros
2022.07.29Dorados83 : 79Astros