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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

LNBP Mexico
AbejasHOME · -
90 : 762022.07.22 · 종료
SolesAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME39.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY60.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 58.6% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +60.2%
VALUE EDGE+60.2%
FAIR ODDS1.66
GRADES
AbejasAnalysis MetricsSoles
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 83.3%
-6.17 Point MarginHigher is better +14.58
169.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 161.92
40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 75.0%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.7 / 15
Prediction separation8.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
39.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
60.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Abejas
L · 91-101L · 72-84L · 101-93L · 80-106L · 93-95
Soles
L · 87-81W · 95-72W · 91-73L · 100-87L · 86-85

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.23Abejas70 : 92Soles
2026.10.20Soles100 : 60Abejas
2026.10.19Soles102 : 58Abejas
2022.09.22Soles82 : 88Abejas
2022.09.21Soles91 : 87Abejas
2022.07.23Abejas64 : 87Soles
2022.07.22Abejas90 : 76Soles
2021.10.18Soles94 : 85Abejas
2021.10.17Soles86 : 80Abejas
2021.09.20Abejas95 : 86Soles