Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
LMBPF Women
Mexico · LMBPF Women - Semi-finals
Mieleras WHOME · -
83 : 642024.04.15 · 종료
Cinnamon WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME88.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY12.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 89.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+88.0%
VALUE EDGE+88.0%
FAIR ODDS1.14
GRADEA
Mieleras WAnalysis MetricsCinnamon W
100.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+40.58
Point MarginHigher is better
+7.33
136.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
117.17
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
8.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mieleras W
W · 50-92W · 102-49W · 95-43W · 96-42W · 107-27
Cinnamon W
W · 79-69W · 76-65L · 59-58W · 56-67W · 70-66
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.04.20 | Cinnamon W | 62 : 70 | Mieleras W |
| 2024.04.16 | Mieleras W | 76 : 69 | Cinnamon W |
| 2024.04.15 | Mieleras W | 83 : 64 | Cinnamon W |
| 2024.02.25 | Mieleras W | 89 : 46 | Cinnamon W |
| 2024.02.24 | Mieleras W | 64 : 50 | Cinnamon W |
| 2024.01.29 | Cinnamon W | 54 : 73 | Mieleras W |
| 2024.01.28 | Cinnamon W | 53 : 72 | Mieleras W |