Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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LMBPF Women Mexico · LMBPF Women - Semi-finals

Libelulas WHOME · -

86 : 742024.04.13 · 종료

Quetzales WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME78.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY21.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 77.3% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +78.2%

VALUE EDGE+78.2%

FAIR ODDS1.28

GRADEA

Libelulas WAnalysis MetricsQuetzales W

66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%

+28.00 Point MarginHigher is better +5.67

144.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 135.00

71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%

5.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement11.1 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

78.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

21.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Libelulas W

W · 42-82W · 87-42W · 74-43L · 53-55W · 57-69

Quetzales W

W · 96-63W · 79-70L · 71-56W · 62-89W · 53-55

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.04.18	Quetzales W	64 : 69	Libelulas W
2024.04.15	Libelulas W	73 : 61	Quetzales W
2024.04.13	Libelulas W	86 : 74	Quetzales W
2024.03.16	Libelulas W	53 : 55	Quetzales W
2024.02.19	Quetzales W	67 : 75	Libelulas W
2024.02.18	Quetzales W	74 : 80	Libelulas W