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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

LMBPF Women Mexico · LMBPF Women - Quarter-finals
Quetzales WHOME · -
79 : 702024.04.07 · 종료
Las Avispas WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME62.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY37.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 57.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +62.2%
VALUE EDGE+62.2%
FAIR ODDS1.61
GRADEA
Quetzales WAnalysis MetricsLas Avispas W
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
+3.92 Point MarginHigher is better -20.58
135.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 116.08
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
13.3일 Rest daysComparison metric 13.3일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.8 / 15
Prediction separation10.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
62.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
37.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Quetzales W
L · 71-56W · 62-89W · 53-55W · 68-45W · 66-53
Las Avispas W
W · 71-56L · 62-89W · 54-72W · 58-68L · 86-50

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.04.08Quetzales W96 : 63Las Avispas W
2024.04.07Quetzales W79 : 70Las Avispas W
2024.03.25Las Avispas W71 : 56Quetzales W
2024.03.24Las Avispas W62 : 89Quetzales W