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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

LMBPF Women Mexico · LMBPF Women - Semi-finals
Lobas Aguascalientes WHOME · -
63 : 772023.05.13 · 종료
Mieleras WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME23.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY76.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK AWAY 77.7% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +76.9%
VALUE EDGE+76.9%
FAIR ODDS1.30
GRADES
Lobas Aguascalientes WAnalysis MetricsMieleras W
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 100.0%
-9.67 Point MarginHigher is better +40.58
146.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 136.92
60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 100.0%
6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.3일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
23.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
76.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Lobas Aguascalientes W
L · 63-58L · 80-50L · 38-83W · 68-84L · 59-88
Mieleras W
W · 84-64W · 89-62W · 68-77W · 84-73W · 91-100

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.05.14Mieleras W96 : 76Lobas Aguascalientes W
2023.05.13Lobas Aguascalientes W63 : 77Mieleras W
2023.03.29Mieleras W95 : 69Lobas Aguascalientes W
2023.03.28Mieleras W90 : 81Lobas Aguascalientes W