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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

LMBPF Women Mexico
Mexcaltecas WHOME · -
77 : 852023.04.22 · 종료
Racers Saltillo WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME45.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY54.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +54.3%
VALUE EDGE+54.3%
FAIR ODDS1.84
GRADEA
Mexcaltecas WAnalysis MetricsRacers Saltillo W
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
-9.75 Point MarginHigher is better -10.25
144.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 142.92
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 12.3일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.7 / 15
Prediction separation3.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
45.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
54.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mexcaltecas W
W · 64-53W · 84-79L · 55-71L · 55-62L · 67-53
Racers Saltillo W
L · 69-58L · 81-65L · 51-88L · 63-90W · 55-71

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.05.07Racers Saltillo W83 : 80Mexcaltecas W
2023.04.29Racers Saltillo W85 : 59Mexcaltecas W
2023.04.22Mexcaltecas W77 : 85Racers Saltillo W
2023.03.26Mexcaltecas W55 : 71Racers Saltillo W
2023.03.25Mexcaltecas W55 : 62Racers Saltillo W