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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

LMBPF Women Mexico · 14
Mexcaltecas WHOME · -
64 : 532023.04.06 · 종료
Lobas Aguascalientes WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME55.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY44.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 53.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +55.6%
VALUE EDGE+55.6%
FAIR ODDS1.80
GRADEB
Mexcaltecas WAnalysis MetricsLobas Aguascalientes W
8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-11.33 Point MarginHigher is better -9.92
148.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 148.58
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.7 / 15
Prediction separation4.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
55.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
44.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mexcaltecas W
W · 84-79L · 55-71L · 55-62L · 67-53L · 78-63
Lobas Aguascalientes W
L · 84-79W · 89-73W · 99-79L · 95-69L · 90-81

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.04.06Mexcaltecas W64 : 53Lobas Aguascalientes W
2023.04.05Mexcaltecas W84 : 79Lobas Aguascalientes W