Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
CIBACOPA
Mexico · CIBACOPA - Quarter-finals
Venados de MazatlanHOME · -
96 : 902022.06.14 · 종료
Ostioneros de GuaymasAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME35.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY64.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 58.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+64.5%
VALUE EDGE+64.5%
FAIR ODDS1.55
GRADEA
Venados de MazatlanAnalysis MetricsOstioneros de Guaymas
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-10.50
Point MarginHigher is better
+3.25
204.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
190.92
30.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
1.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.1 / 15
Prediction separation12.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Venados de Mazatlan
W · 116-115L · 92-95L · 89-80L · 87-85W · 84-97
Ostioneros de Guaymas
L · 116-115W · 92-95W · 89-80W · 87-85W · 90-83
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.05.03 | Ostioneros de Guaymas | 98 : 86 | Venados de Mazatlan |
| 2026.05.02 | Ostioneros de Guaymas | 118 : 98 | Venados de Mazatlan |
| 2026.03.25 | Venados de Mazatlan | 84 : 88 | Ostioneros de Guaymas |
| 2026.03.24 | Venados de Mazatlan | 87 : 105 | Ostioneros de Guaymas |
| 2025.05.01 | Ostioneros de Guaymas | 94 : 73 | Venados de Mazatlan |
| 2025.04.30 | Ostioneros de Guaymas | 97 : 92 | Venados de Mazatlan |
| 2025.03.20 | Venados de Mazatlan | 91 : 84 | Ostioneros de Guaymas |
| 2025.03.19 | Venados de Mazatlan | 72 : 79 | Ostioneros de Guaymas |
| 2022.06.18 | Ostioneros de Guaymas | 85 : 93 | Venados de Mazatlan |
| 2022.06.17 | Ostioneros de Guaymas | 85 : 97 | Venados de Mazatlan |