Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
CIBACOPA
Mexico · CIBACOPA - Quarter-finals
Halcones de ObregonHOME · -
85 : 682022.06.09 · 종료
Rayos de HermosilloAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME55.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY44.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 54.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+55.1%
VALUE EDGE+55.1%
FAIR ODDS1.82
GRADEA
Halcones de ObregonAnalysis MetricsRayos de Hermosillo
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-1.75
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.33
180.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
185.83
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
80.0%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.4 / 15
Prediction separation4.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Halcones de Obregon
L · 76-78W · 80-93L · 101-91W · 100-88W · 84-77
Rayos de Hermosillo
W · 76-78L · 90-83L · 87-67W · 74-87L · 100-92
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.05.14 | Halcones de Obregon | 97 : 88 | Rayos de Hermosillo |
| 2026.05.13 | Halcones de Obregon | 98 : 102 | Rayos de Hermosillo |
| 2026.03.15 | Rayos de Hermosillo | 90 : 89 | Halcones de Obregon |
| 2026.03.14 | Rayos de Hermosillo | 87 : 86 | Halcones de Obregon |
| 2025.04.13 | Halcones de Obregon | 73 : 76 | Rayos de Hermosillo |
| 2025.04.12 | Halcones de Obregon | 103 : 84 | Rayos de Hermosillo |
| 2025.04.03 | Rayos de Hermosillo | 75 : 94 | Halcones de Obregon |
| 2025.04.02 | Rayos de Hermosillo | 74 : 73 | Halcones de Obregon |
| 2022.06.18 | Halcones de Obregon | 67 : 73 | Rayos de Hermosillo |
| 2022.06.17 | Halcones de Obregon | 87 : 80 | Rayos de Hermosillo |