Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
CIBACOPA
Mexico
Rayos de HermosilloHOME · -
109 : 862022.05.25 · 종료
Venados de MazatlanAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME66.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY33.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+66.3%
VALUE EDGE+66.3%
FAIR ODDS1.51
GRADES
Rayos de HermosilloAnalysis MetricsVenados de Mazatlan
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
+2.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-10.50
185.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
204.33
42.9%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.7 / 15
Prediction separation13.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rayos de Hermosillo
L · 88-96W · 80-65W · 87-97L · 78-71W · 83-82
Venados de Mazatlan
L · 86-89L · 78-96L · 99-97W · 88-92L · 70-88
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.04.02 | Rayos de Hermosillo | 94 : 97 | Venados de Mazatlan |
| 2026.04.01 | Rayos de Hermosillo | 96 : 85 | Venados de Mazatlan |
| 2026.03.05 | Venados de Mazatlan | 76 : 83 | Rayos de Hermosillo |
| 2026.03.04 | Venados de Mazatlan | 93 : 87 | Rayos de Hermosillo |
| 2025.05.04 | Rayos de Hermosillo | 95 : 97 | Venados de Mazatlan |
| 2025.05.03 | Rayos de Hermosillo | 83 : 73 | Venados de Mazatlan |
| 2025.03.30 | Venados de Mazatlan | 88 : 78 | Rayos de Hermosillo |
| 2025.03.29 | Venados de Mazatlan | 85 : 71 | Rayos de Hermosillo |
| 2022.05.25 | Rayos de Hermosillo | 109 : 86 | Venados de Mazatlan |
| 2022.04.24 | Venados de Mazatlan | 68 : 93 | Rayos de Hermosillo |