Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
CIBACOPA
Mexico
Rayos de HermosilloHOME · -
80 : 652022.05.21 · 종료
Halcones de ObregonAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME46.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY53.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+53.8%
VALUE EDGE+53.8%
FAIR ODDS1.86
GRADEA
Rayos de HermosilloAnalysis MetricsHalcones de Obregon
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+2.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.75
185.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
180.08
42.9%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.8 / 15
Prediction separation3.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rayos de Hermosillo
W · 87-97L · 78-71W · 83-82L · 69-90L · 60-86
Halcones de Obregon
W · 105-92L · 84-90W · 97-80L · 76-87L · 81-76
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.05.14 | Halcones de Obregon | 97 : 88 | Rayos de Hermosillo |
| 2026.05.13 | Halcones de Obregon | 98 : 102 | Rayos de Hermosillo |
| 2026.03.15 | Rayos de Hermosillo | 90 : 89 | Halcones de Obregon |
| 2026.03.14 | Rayos de Hermosillo | 87 : 86 | Halcones de Obregon |
| 2025.04.13 | Halcones de Obregon | 73 : 76 | Rayos de Hermosillo |
| 2025.04.12 | Halcones de Obregon | 103 : 84 | Rayos de Hermosillo |
| 2025.04.03 | Rayos de Hermosillo | 75 : 94 | Halcones de Obregon |
| 2025.04.02 | Rayos de Hermosillo | 74 : 73 | Halcones de Obregon |
| 2022.06.18 | Halcones de Obregon | 67 : 73 | Rayos de Hermosillo |
| 2022.06.17 | Halcones de Obregon | 87 : 80 | Rayos de Hermosillo |