Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
CIBACOPA
Mexico
AstrosHOME · -
90 : 542022.05.18 · 종료
Ostioneros de GuaymasAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME60.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY39.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 58.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+60.1%
VALUE EDGE+60.1%
FAIR ODDS1.66
GRADES
AstrosAnalysis MetricsOstioneros de Guaymas
83.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+6.33
Point MarginHigher is better
+3.25
165.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
190.92
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
5.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.8 / 15
Prediction separation8.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Astros
W · 70-88L · 96-81W · 81-76L · 92-97W · 85-79
Ostioneros de Guaymas
L · 83-82W · 69-90L · 94-65W · 85-102W · 96-84
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.04.30 | Ostioneros de Guaymas | 84 : 87 | Astros |
| 2026.04.29 | Ostioneros de Guaymas | 96 : 111 | Astros |
| 2026.03.04 | Astros | 96 : 88 | Ostioneros de Guaymas |
| 2026.03.03 | Astros | 90 : 80 | Ostioneros de Guaymas |
| 2025.05.05 | Astros | 114 : 76 | Ostioneros de Guaymas |
| 2025.05.04 | Astros | 87 : 100 | Ostioneros de Guaymas |
| 2025.03.23 | Ostioneros de Guaymas | 116 : 104 | Astros |
| 2025.03.22 | Ostioneros de Guaymas | 98 : 103 | Astros |
| 2022.05.18 | Astros | 90 : 54 | Ostioneros de Guaymas |
| 2022.04.24 | Ostioneros de Guaymas | 86 : 81 | Astros |