Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
CIBACOPA
Mexico
Rayos de HermosilloHOME · -
69 : 902022.05.11 · 종료
Ostioneros de GuaymasAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME62.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY37.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 58.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+62.4%
VALUE EDGE+62.4%
FAIR ODDS1.60
GRADEA
Rayos de HermosilloAnalysis MetricsOstioneros de Guaymas
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+2.33
Point MarginHigher is better
+3.25
185.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
190.92
42.9%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.7 / 15
Prediction separation10.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rayos de Hermosillo
L · 60-86W · 107-83W · 91-108W · 74-86W · 94-99
Ostioneros de Guaymas
L · 94-65W · 85-102W · 96-84W · 78-69W · 82-87
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.05.10 | Rayos de Hermosillo | 87 : 95 | Ostioneros de Guaymas |
| 2026.03.29 | Ostioneros de Guaymas | 91 : 87 | Rayos de Hermosillo |
| 2026.03.28 | Ostioneros de Guaymas | 95 : 103 | Rayos de Hermosillo |
| 2025.04.27 | Rayos de Hermosillo | 65 : 54 | Ostioneros de Guaymas |
| 2025.04.26 | Rayos de Hermosillo | 88 : 91 | Ostioneros de Guaymas |
| 2025.03.13 | Ostioneros de Guaymas | 96 : 82 | Rayos de Hermosillo |
| 2025.03.12 | Ostioneros de Guaymas | 102 : 74 | Rayos de Hermosillo |
| 2022.06.05 | Ostioneros de Guaymas | 90 : 83 | Rayos de Hermosillo |
| 2022.05.12 | Rayos de Hermosillo | 83 : 82 | Ostioneros de Guaymas |
| 2022.05.11 | Rayos de Hermosillo | 69 : 90 | Ostioneros de Guaymas |