Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
CIBACOPA
Mexico
Venados de MazatlanHOME · -
96 : 812022.05.11 · 종료
AstrosAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME40.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY59.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 54.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+59.3%
VALUE EDGE+59.3%
FAIR ODDS1.69
GRADES
Venados de MazatlanAnalysis MetricsAstros
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
-10.50
Point MarginHigher is better
+6.33
204.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
165.83
30.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
60.0%
3.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.7 / 15
Prediction separation8.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Venados de Mazatlan
L · 86-107L · 63-72L · 96-84L · 78-69L · 85-80
Astros
W · 81-76L · 92-97W · 85-79W · 84-74W · 86-70
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.05.07 | Venados de Mazatlan | 108 : 117 | Astros |
| 2026.05.06 | Venados de Mazatlan | 87 : 112 | Astros |
| 2026.04.27 | Astros | 80 : 103 | Venados de Mazatlan |
| 2026.04.26 | Astros | 122 : 74 | Venados de Mazatlan |
| 2025.04.17 | Astros | 102 : 79 | Venados de Mazatlan |
| 2025.04.16 | Astros | 109 : 90 | Venados de Mazatlan |
| 2025.03.09 | Venados de Mazatlan | 73 : 85 | Astros |
| 2025.03.08 | Venados de Mazatlan | 81 : 83 | Astros |
| 2022.06.30 | Astros | 111 : 93 | Venados de Mazatlan |
| 2022.06.27 | Venados de Mazatlan | 91 : 97 | Astros |