Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
CIBACOPA
Mexico
Rayos de HermosilloHOME · -
107 : 832022.05.07 · 종료
Pioneros de Los MochisAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME61.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY38.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 58.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+61.5%
VALUE EDGE+61.5%
FAIR ODDS1.63
GRADES
Rayos de HermosilloAnalysis MetricsPioneros de Los Mochis
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
+2.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-10.00
185.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
195.33
42.9%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
25.0%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.4 / 15
Prediction separation9.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rayos de Hermosillo
W · 91-108W · 74-86W · 94-99L · 98-91W · 80-77
Pioneros de Los Mochis
L · 89-94W · 91-90L · 94-99W · 98-91L · 94-79
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.04.23 | Pioneros de Los Mochis | 81 : 100 | Rayos de Hermosillo |
| 2026.04.22 | Pioneros de Los Mochis | 103 : 119 | Rayos de Hermosillo |
| 2026.03.26 | Rayos de Hermosillo | 83 : 103 | Pioneros de Los Mochis |
| 2026.03.25 | Rayos de Hermosillo | 97 : 88 | Pioneros de Los Mochis |
| 2025.05.01 | Pioneros de Los Mochis | 73 : 81 | Rayos de Hermosillo |
| 2025.04.30 | Pioneros de Los Mochis | 92 : 89 | Rayos de Hermosillo |
| 2025.04.06 | Rayos de Hermosillo | 87 : 81 | Pioneros de Los Mochis |
| 2025.04.05 | Rayos de Hermosillo | 88 : 96 | Pioneros de Los Mochis |
| 2022.06.27 | Rayos de Hermosillo | 90 : 73 | Pioneros de Los Mochis |
| 2022.06.26 | Rayos de Hermosillo | 84 : 82 | Pioneros de Los Mochis |