Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
CIBACOPA
Mexico
Caballeros de CuliacanHOME · -
74 : 862022.05.04 · 종료
Rayos de HermosilloAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME35.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY64.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 58.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+64.1%
VALUE EDGE+64.1%
FAIR ODDS1.56
GRADEA
Caballeros de CuliacanAnalysis MetricsRayos de Hermosillo
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-3.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.33
188.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
185.83
42.9%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
80.0%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.3 / 15
Prediction separation12.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Caballeros de Culiacan
L · 82-87L · 81-96L · 80-77L · 87-84L · 88-81
Rayos de Hermosillo
W · 94-99L · 98-91W · 80-77W · 87-84W · 68-93
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.05.03 | Rayos de Hermosillo | 99 : 90 | Caballeros de Culiacan |
| 2026.05.02 | Rayos de Hermosillo | 87 : 91 | Caballeros de Culiacan |
| 2026.03.08 | Caballeros de Culiacan | 95 : 79 | Rayos de Hermosillo |
| 2026.03.07 | Caballeros de Culiacan | 83 : 93 | Rayos de Hermosillo |
| 2025.04.23 | Caballeros de Culiacan | 88 : 80 | Rayos de Hermosillo |
| 2025.03.16 | Rayos de Hermosillo | 86 : 92 | Caballeros de Culiacan |
| 2025.03.15 | Rayos de Hermosillo | 65 : 77 | Caballeros de Culiacan |
| 2022.05.05 | Caballeros de Culiacan | 91 : 108 | Rayos de Hermosillo |
| 2022.05.04 | Caballeros de Culiacan | 74 : 86 | Rayos de Hermosillo |
| 2022.04.28 | Rayos de Hermosillo | 80 : 77 | Caballeros de Culiacan |