Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
CIBACOPA
Mexico
Venados de MazatlanHOME · -
68 : 932022.04.24 · 종료
Rayos de HermosilloAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME69.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY30.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+69.9%
VALUE EDGE+69.9%
FAIR ODDS1.43
GRADEA
Venados de MazatlanAnalysis MetricsRayos de Hermosillo
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-10.50
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.33
204.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
185.83
30.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
80.0%
0.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Venados de Mazatlan
W · 102-95W · 77-80W · 83-92L · 94-89L · 89-93
Rayos de Hermosillo
L · 102-95W · 71-61L · 73-92W · 102-86W · 91-90
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.04.02 | Rayos de Hermosillo | 94 : 97 | Venados de Mazatlan |
| 2026.04.01 | Rayos de Hermosillo | 96 : 85 | Venados de Mazatlan |
| 2026.03.05 | Venados de Mazatlan | 76 : 83 | Rayos de Hermosillo |
| 2026.03.04 | Venados de Mazatlan | 93 : 87 | Rayos de Hermosillo |
| 2025.05.04 | Rayos de Hermosillo | 95 : 97 | Venados de Mazatlan |
| 2025.05.03 | Rayos de Hermosillo | 83 : 73 | Venados de Mazatlan |
| 2025.03.30 | Venados de Mazatlan | 88 : 78 | Rayos de Hermosillo |
| 2025.03.29 | Venados de Mazatlan | 85 : 71 | Rayos de Hermosillo |
| 2022.05.25 | Rayos de Hermosillo | 109 : 86 | Venados de Mazatlan |
| 2022.04.24 | Venados de Mazatlan | 68 : 93 | Rayos de Hermosillo |