Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
CIBACOPA
Mexico
Ostioneros de GuaymasHOME · -
90 : 842022.04.23 · 종료
AstrosAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME46.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY53.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+53.2%
VALUE EDGE+53.2%
FAIR ODDS1.88
GRADEA
Ostioneros de GuaymasAnalysis MetricsAstros
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
+3.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+6.33
190.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
165.83
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
60.0%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.1 / 15
Prediction separation2.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ostioneros de Guaymas
L · 80-92L · 102-86L · 91-90W · 96-86L · 96-100
Astros
L · 71-61W · 73-92W · 87-95L · 93-82W · 97-87
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.04.30 | Ostioneros de Guaymas | 84 : 87 | Astros |
| 2026.04.29 | Ostioneros de Guaymas | 96 : 111 | Astros |
| 2026.03.04 | Astros | 96 : 88 | Ostioneros de Guaymas |
| 2026.03.03 | Astros | 90 : 80 | Ostioneros de Guaymas |
| 2025.05.05 | Astros | 114 : 76 | Ostioneros de Guaymas |
| 2025.05.04 | Astros | 87 : 100 | Ostioneros de Guaymas |
| 2025.03.23 | Ostioneros de Guaymas | 116 : 104 | Astros |
| 2025.03.22 | Ostioneros de Guaymas | 98 : 103 | Astros |
| 2022.05.18 | Astros | 90 : 54 | Ostioneros de Guaymas |
| 2022.04.24 | Ostioneros de Guaymas | 86 : 81 | Astros |