Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
CIBACOPA
Mexico
Rayos de HermosilloHOME · -
71 : 612022.04.21 · 종료
AstrosAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME54.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY45.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+54.9%
VALUE EDGE+54.9%
FAIR ODDS1.82
GRADEA
Rayos de HermosilloAnalysis MetricsAstros
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
+2.33
Point MarginHigher is better
+6.33
185.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
165.83
42.9%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
60.0%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.4 / 15
Prediction separation4.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rayos de Hermosillo
L · 73-92W · 102-86W · 91-90L · 93-82W · 79-88
Astros
W · 73-92W · 87-95L · 93-82W · 97-87W · 83-74
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.04.12 | Astros | 87 : 60 | Rayos de Hermosillo |
| 2026.04.11 | Astros | 97 : 93 | Rayos de Hermosillo |
| 2026.03.20 | Rayos de Hermosillo | 64 : 86 | Astros |
| 2026.03.19 | Rayos de Hermosillo | 64 : 83 | Astros |
| 2025.05.19 | Astros | 76 : 69 | Rayos de Hermosillo |
| 2025.05.18 | Astros | 104 : 83 | Rayos de Hermosillo |
| 2025.03.27 | Rayos de Hermosillo | 76 : 86 | Astros |
| 2025.03.26 | Rayos de Hermosillo | 74 : 105 | Astros |
| 2022.07.13 | Astros | 91 : 87 | Rayos de Hermosillo |
| 2022.07.10 | Rayos de Hermosillo | 72 : 84 | Astros |