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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

CIBACOPA Mexico
Caballeros de CuliacanHOME · -
77 : 802022.04.21 · 종료
Venados de MazatlanAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME51.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY48.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +51.8%
VALUE EDGE+51.8%
FAIR ODDS1.93
GRADEA
Caballeros de CuliacanAnalysis MetricsVenados de Mazatlan
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
-3.25 Point MarginHigher is better -10.50
188.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 204.33
42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.6 / 15
Prediction separation1.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
51.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
48.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Caballeros de Culiacan
L · 98-90L · 116-79L · 97-87L · 83-74W · 88-83
Venados de Mazatlan
W · 83-92L · 94-89L · 89-93W · 108-94L · 87-81

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.04.12Venados de Mazatlan92 : 101Caballeros de Culiacan
2026.04.11Venados de Mazatlan103 : 110Caballeros de Culiacan
2026.02.23Caballeros de Culiacan78 : 98Venados de Mazatlan
2026.02.22Caballeros de Culiacan95 : 83Venados de Mazatlan
2025.04.14Venados de Mazatlan75 : 69Caballeros de Culiacan
2025.04.13Venados de Mazatlan87 : 98Caballeros de Culiacan
2025.04.10Caballeros de Culiacan82 : 76Venados de Mazatlan
2025.04.09Caballeros de Culiacan78 : 79Venados de Mazatlan
2022.06.05Caballeros de Culiacan84 : 97Venados de Mazatlan
2022.06.04Caballeros de Culiacan74 : 103Venados de Mazatlan