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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

CIBACOPA Mexico
AstrosHOME · -
83 : 742022.04.09 · 종료
Caballeros de CuliacanAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME80.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY19.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 82.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +80.5%
VALUE EDGE+80.5%
FAIR ODDS1.24
GRADEA
AstrosAnalysis MetricsCaballeros de Culiacan
83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+6.33 Point MarginHigher is better -3.25
165.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 188.25
100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%
2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
80.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
19.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Astros
W · 87-81W · 106-71L · 82-80W · 98-110W · 85-97
Caballeros de Culiacan
W · 88-83L · 107-80L · 96-98

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.05.30Caballeros de Culiacan103 : 105Astros
2026.05.28Caballeros de Culiacan87 : 95Astros
2026.05.27Caballeros de Culiacan80 : 94Astros
2026.05.24Astros112 : 84Caballeros de Culiacan
2026.05.23Astros86 : 94Caballeros de Culiacan
2026.04.09Caballeros de Culiacan79 : 102Astros
2026.04.08Caballeros de Culiacan75 : 92Astros
2026.03.26Astros105 : 98Caballeros de Culiacan
2026.03.25Astros103 : 86Caballeros de Culiacan
2025.05.29Caballeros de Culiacan84 : 89Astros