Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
CIBACOPA
Mexico
Ostioneros de GuaymasHOME · -
92 : 802022.04.03 · 종료
Rayos de HermosilloAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME44.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY55.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 54.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+55.9%
VALUE EDGE+55.9%
FAIR ODDS1.79
GRADEA
Ostioneros de GuaymasAnalysis MetricsRayos de Hermosillo
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+3.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.33
190.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
185.83
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
80.0%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.9 / 15
Prediction separation5.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ostioneros de Guaymas
L · 90-61
Rayos de Hermosillo
W · 90-61
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.05.10 | Rayos de Hermosillo | 87 : 95 | Ostioneros de Guaymas |
| 2026.03.29 | Ostioneros de Guaymas | 91 : 87 | Rayos de Hermosillo |
| 2026.03.28 | Ostioneros de Guaymas | 95 : 103 | Rayos de Hermosillo |
| 2025.04.27 | Rayos de Hermosillo | 65 : 54 | Ostioneros de Guaymas |
| 2025.04.26 | Rayos de Hermosillo | 88 : 91 | Ostioneros de Guaymas |
| 2025.03.13 | Ostioneros de Guaymas | 96 : 82 | Rayos de Hermosillo |
| 2025.03.12 | Ostioneros de Guaymas | 102 : 74 | Rayos de Hermosillo |
| 2022.06.05 | Ostioneros de Guaymas | 90 : 83 | Rayos de Hermosillo |
| 2022.05.12 | Rayos de Hermosillo | 83 : 82 | Ostioneros de Guaymas |
| 2022.05.11 | Rayos de Hermosillo | 69 : 90 | Ostioneros de Guaymas |