경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

K3 League South-Korea · Regular Season - 22

Daejeon KorailHOME · 1.61

0 : 12026.09.11 · 종료

Ulsan CitizenAWAY · 5.23

HOME · 현재 순위 3위 승점 38 · 21경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 10위 승점 25 · 21경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME65.8%

DRAW23.1%

AWAY11.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH86 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 46.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +9.0%

VALUE EDGE+9.0%

FAIR ODDS1.52

GRADEA

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +25.8%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +21.8%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +29.0%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +6.8%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST EVEN +0.4%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Daejeon Korail분석 지표Ulsan Citizen

41.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 58.3%

1.17 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.58

1.08 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.17

60.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 33.3%

6.1일 휴식일비교용 지표 6.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

86/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도11.6 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보3.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME56.8%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승66.7%표본 72경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승50.0%표본 2경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승45.4%현재 이동 +1.3%

OPEN → NOW1.59 → 1.61배당 업데이트 2026-09-11 23:42:06

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

65.8%

DRAW

23.1%

AWAY

11.1%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Daejeon Korail

W · 0-1W · 2-1L · 2-0D · 1-1L · 0-1

Ulsan Citizen

L · 1-2W · 2-1W · 0-1L · 0-1W · 1-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME76 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.58

→

CURRENT1.61

+1.79%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW76 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.62

→

CURRENT3.55

-2.12%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY76 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN5.09

→

CURRENT5.03

-1.28%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-11 00:02:07	1.58	3.62	5.09
2026-09-11 00:22:08	1.58	3.62	5.09
2026-09-11 00:42:08	1.58	3.62	5.09
2026-09-11 01:02:09	1.58	3.62	5.09
2026-09-11 01:22:08	1.61	3.53	4.67
2026-09-11 01:22:09	1.57	3.67	5.31
2026-09-11 01:42:07	1.58	3.62	5.09
2026-09-11 02:02:11	1.62	3.59	4.92
2026-09-11 02:22:07	1.62	3.59	4.92
2026-09-11 02:42:08	1.62	3.59	4.92
2026-09-11 03:02:09	1.62	3.59	4.92
2026-09-11 03:22:09	1.62	3.59	4.92
2026-09-11 03:42:09	1.62	3.59	4.92
2026-09-11 04:02:08	1.61	3.59	4.93
2026-09-11 04:02:09	1.68	3.58	4.88
2026-09-11 04:22:10	1.62	3.59	4.92
2026-09-11 04:42:09	1.62	3.59	4.92
2026-09-11 05:02:08	1.62	3.59	4.92
2026-09-11 05:22:09	1.62	3.59	4.92
2026-09-11 05:42:09	1.62	3.59	4.92
2026-09-11 06:02:09	1.62	3.59	4.92
2026-09-11 06:22:08	1.62	3.59	4.92
2026-09-11 06:42:08	1.62	3.59	4.92
2026-09-11 07:02:09	1.62	3.59	4.92
2026-09-11 07:22:09	1.62	3.59	4.92
2026-09-11 07:42:09	1.62	3.59	4.92
2026-09-11 08:02:09	1.61	3.57	5.04
2026-09-11 08:22:08	1.61	3.57	5.04
2026-09-11 08:42:09	1.61	3.57	5.04
2026-09-11 09:02:09	1.62	3.50	4.90
2026-09-11 09:02:10	1.60	3.63	5.17
2026-09-11 09:22:09	1.61	3.57	5.04
2026-09-11 09:42:08	1.61	3.57	5.04
2026-09-11 10:02:09	1.61	3.57	5.04
2026-09-11 10:22:09	1.61	3.57	5.04
2026-09-11 10:42:09	1.61	3.57	5.04
2026-09-11 11:02:07	1.62	3.55	4.84
2026-09-11 11:22:09	1.62	3.55	4.84
2026-09-11 11:42:06	1.62	3.55	4.84
2026-09-11 12:02:06	1.62	3.55	4.84
2026-09-11 12:22:07	1.62	3.55	4.84
2026-09-11 12:42:06	1.62	3.55	4.84
2026-09-11 13:02:05	1.62	3.55	4.84
2026-09-11 13:22:06	1.62	3.55	4.84
2026-09-11 13:42:06	1.62	3.55	4.84
2026-09-11 14:02:06	1.60	3.55	5.04
2026-09-11 14:22:06	1.60	3.55	5.04
2026-09-11 14:42:06	1.60	3.55	5.04
2026-09-11 15:02:06	1.60	3.55	5.04
2026-09-11 15:22:07	1.60	3.55	5.04
2026-09-11 15:42:07	1.60	3.55	5.04
2026-09-11 16:02:06	1.60	3.55	5.04
2026-09-11 16:22:06	1.60	3.55	5.04
2026-09-11 16:42:06	1.60	3.55	5.04
2026-09-11 17:02:06	1.61	3.51	5.01
2026-09-11 17:22:08	1.61	3.51	5.01
2026-09-11 17:42:06	1.61	3.51	5.01
2026-09-11 18:02:05	1.61	3.51	5.01
2026-09-11 18:22:06	1.61	3.51	5.01
2026-09-11 18:42:06	1.61	3.51	5.01
2026-09-11 19:02:06	1.61	3.51	5.01
2026-09-11 19:22:07	1.61	3.51	5.01
2026-09-11 19:42:06	1.61	3.51	5.01
2026-09-11 20:02:05	1.61	3.55	5.03
2026-09-11 20:22:05	1.61	3.55	5.03
2026-09-11 20:42:06	1.61	3.55	5.03
2026-09-11 21:02:06	1.61	3.55	5.03
2026-09-11 21:22:06	1.61	3.55	5.03
2026-09-11 21:42:06	1.61	3.55	5.03
2026-09-11 22:02:06	1.61	3.55	5.03
2026-09-11 22:22:05	1.61	3.55	5.03
2026-09-11 22:42:06	1.61	3.55	5.03
2026-09-11 23:02:06	1.61	3.55	5.03
2026-09-11 23:22:05	1.64	3.50	4.57
2026-09-11 23:22:06	1.60	3.57	5.26
2026-09-11 23:42:06	1.61	3.55	5.03

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.11	Daejeon Korail	0 : 1	Ulsan Citizen
2026.05.01	Ulsan Citizen	0 : 1	Daejeon Korail