경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Liga Pro Ecuador · Regular Season - 28

MacaraHOME · 1.44

4 : 32026.09.03 · 종료

Manta FCAWAY · 7.00

HOME · 현재 순위 3위 승점 45 · 27경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 16위 승점 20 · 27경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME81.7%

DRAW13.1%

AWAY5.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH90 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 56.1% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +17.5%

VALUE EDGE+17.5%

FAIR ODDS1.22

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +40.0%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +38.9%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +44.9%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +14.6%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Macara분석 지표Manta FC

58.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 33.3%

1.58 평균 득점높을수록 유리 0.83

1.00 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.25

60.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 20.0%

2.9일 휴식일비교용 지표 3.8일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

90/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도11.3 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보5.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME64.2%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승77.2%표본 57경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 2경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승49.4%현재 이동 -4.6%

OPEN → NOW1.51 → 1.44배당 업데이트 2026-09-02 23:42:04

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

81.7%

DRAW

13.1%

AWAY

5.2%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Macara

W · 1-2L · 1-0D · 0-0D · 1-1L · 2-1

Manta FC

W · 2-0L · 5-1L · 0-2W · 1-2L · 1-2

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.47

→

CURRENT1.44

-2.40%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.85

→

CURRENT3.96

+2.86%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN6.31

→

CURRENT6.73

+6.66%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-02 10:42:06	1.47	3.85	6.31
2026-09-02 10:52:06	1.47	3.85	6.31
2026-09-02 11:02:04	1.47	3.85	6.31
2026-09-02 11:12:04	1.47	3.85	6.31
2026-09-02 11:22:05	1.47	3.79	6.23
2026-09-02 11:22:06	1.49	4.02	6.40
2026-09-02 11:32:04	1.47	3.84	6.27
2026-09-02 11:42:05	1.47	3.84	6.27
2026-09-02 11:52:05	1.47	3.84	6.27
2026-09-02 12:02:05	1.47	3.84	6.27
2026-09-02 12:12:04	1.47	3.84	6.27
2026-09-02 12:22:05	1.47	3.84	6.27
2026-09-02 12:32:05	1.47	3.84	6.27
2026-09-02 12:42:06	1.47	3.84	6.27
2026-09-02 12:52:05	1.47	3.82	6.25
2026-09-02 12:52:06	1.49	4.00	6.35
2026-09-02 13:02:04	1.47	3.84	6.27
2026-09-02 13:12:04	1.47	3.84	6.27
2026-09-02 13:22:05	1.47	3.84	6.27
2026-09-02 13:32:07	1.47	3.84	6.27
2026-09-02 13:42:05	1.47	3.84	6.27
2026-09-02 13:52:05	1.47	3.83	6.26
2026-09-02 13:52:06	1.48	4.00	6.40
2026-09-02 14:02:04	1.47	3.84	6.27
2026-09-02 14:12:04	1.47	3.84	6.27
2026-09-02 14:22:06	1.48	3.85	6.21
2026-09-02 14:32:05	1.48	3.85	6.21
2026-09-02 14:42:04	1.48	3.85	6.21
2026-09-02 14:52:04	1.48	3.85	6.21
2026-09-02 15:02:05	1.48	3.85	6.21
2026-09-02 15:12:03	1.48	3.85	6.21
2026-09-02 15:22:04	1.48	3.85	6.21
2026-09-02 15:32:04	1.48	3.85	6.21
2026-09-02 15:42:04	1.48	3.85	6.21
2026-09-02 15:52:06	1.48	3.85	6.21
2026-09-02 16:02:04	1.47	3.83	6.22
2026-09-02 16:02:05	1.51	3.98	6.15
2026-09-02 16:12:04	1.48	3.85	6.21
2026-09-02 16:22:05	1.48	3.85	6.21
2026-09-02 16:32:04	1.48	3.85	6.21
2026-09-02 16:42:05	1.48	3.85	6.21
2026-09-02 16:52:05	1.49	3.77	6.23
2026-09-02 16:52:06	1.47	3.89	6.21
2026-09-02 17:02:05	1.48	3.85	6.21
2026-09-02 17:12:05	1.48	3.85	6.21
2026-09-02 17:22:05	1.47	3.86	6.23
2026-09-02 17:32:05	1.47	3.86	6.23
2026-09-02 17:42:04	1.47	3.86	6.23
2026-09-02 17:52:04	1.47	3.86	6.23
2026-09-02 18:02:04	1.47	3.86	6.23
2026-09-02 18:12:04	1.47	3.86	6.23
2026-09-02 18:22:04	1.47	3.86	6.23
2026-09-02 18:32:05	1.47	3.86	6.23
2026-09-02 18:42:04	1.47	3.86	6.23
2026-09-02 18:52:04	1.48	3.78	6.29
2026-09-02 18:52:05	1.47	3.89	6.21
2026-09-02 19:02:04	1.47	3.86	6.23
2026-09-02 19:12:04	1.47	3.86	6.23
2026-09-02 19:22:04	1.47	3.86	6.23
2026-09-02 19:32:04	1.47	3.86	6.23
2026-09-02 19:42:04	1.47	3.86	6.23
2026-09-02 19:52:04	1.47	3.86	6.23
2026-09-02 20:02:03	1.47	3.83	6.27
2026-09-02 20:02:04	1.49	3.91	6.18
2026-09-02 20:12:04	1.47	3.86	6.23
2026-09-02 20:22:04	1.48	3.78	6.29
2026-09-02 20:22:05	1.47	3.89	6.21
2026-09-02 20:32:04	1.47	3.86	6.23
2026-09-02 20:42:03	1.51	3.70	6.15
2026-09-02 20:42:04	1.47	3.89	6.25
2026-09-02 21:02:05	1.47	3.86	6.23
2026-09-02 21:22:05	1.48	3.84	6.43
2026-09-02 21:22:06	1.47	3.87	6.11
2026-09-02 21:42:05	1.47	3.86	6.23
2026-09-02 22:02:04	1.47	3.86	6.23
2026-09-02 22:22:06	1.47	3.86	6.23
2026-09-02 22:42:04	1.47	3.86	6.23
2026-09-02 23:02:04	1.47	3.86	6.23
2026-09-02 23:22:07	1.44	3.96	6.73
2026-09-02 23:42:04	1.44	3.96	6.73

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.03	Macara	4 : 3	Manta FC
2026.05.11	Manta FC	0 : 1	Macara