경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Super League Uzbekistan · Regular Season - 20

NasafHOME · 3.75

6 : 22026.09.04 · 종료

NeftchiAWAY · 1.97

HOME · 현재 순위 9위 승점 25 · 19경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 1위 승점 45 · 19경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME12.1%

DRAW26.9%

AWAY61.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH83 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK AWAY 46.2% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +14.7%

VALUE EDGE+14.7%

FAIR ODDS1.64

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM AWAY -18.2%p

HOME_AWAY AWAY -19.4%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -40.1%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -15.6%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST AWAY -5.0%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Nasaf분석 지표Neftchi

41.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 66.7%

1.17 평균 득점높을수록 유리 2.08

0.75 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 0.75

60.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 60.0%

5.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 6.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

83/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도10.3 / 15

예측 분리도14.6 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보3.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME24.3%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승25.5%표본 47경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승49.0%현재 이동 -3.2%

OPEN → NOW3.88 → 3.75배당 업데이트 2026-09-04 23:52:13

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

12.1%

DRAW

26.9%

AWAY

61.0%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Nasaf

L · 1-0L · 1-0L · 1-0L · 1-2D · 0-0

Neftchi

W · 1-0W · 3-0L · 4-1W · 0-3W · 5-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.90

→

CURRENT3.78

-3.18%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.16

→

CURRENT3.06

-3.13%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.94

→

CURRENT1.97

+1.39%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-04 02:12:11	3.90	3.16	1.94
2026-09-04 02:22:11	3.84	3.15	1.92
2026-09-04 02:32:11	3.84	3.15	1.92
2026-09-04 02:42:10	3.84	3.15	1.92
2026-09-04 02:52:11	3.84	3.15	1.92
2026-09-04 03:02:10	3.84	3.15	1.92
2026-09-04 03:12:10	3.84	3.15	1.92
2026-09-04 03:22:11	3.71	3.17	1.88
2026-09-04 03:22:12	3.98	3.12	1.95
2026-09-04 03:32:11	3.84	3.15	1.92
2026-09-04 03:42:10	3.84	3.15	1.92
2026-09-04 03:52:10	3.84	3.15	1.92
2026-09-04 04:12:10	3.84	3.15	1.92
2026-09-04 04:32:10	3.75	3.13	1.87
2026-09-04 04:32:11	3.90	3.16	1.94
2026-09-04 04:52:11	3.84	3.15	1.92
2026-09-04 05:12:10	3.84	3.15	1.92
2026-09-04 05:32:10	3.84	3.15	1.92
2026-09-04 05:52:12	3.78	3.16	1.90
2026-09-04 05:52:13	3.95	3.13	1.94
2026-09-04 06:12:10	3.84	3.15	1.92
2026-09-04 06:32:11	3.84	3.15	1.92
2026-09-04 06:52:12	3.84	3.15	1.92
2026-09-04 07:12:11	3.84	3.15	1.92
2026-09-04 07:32:10	3.84	3.15	1.92
2026-09-04 07:52:12	3.81	3.18	1.92
2026-09-04 08:12:11	3.81	3.18	1.92
2026-09-04 08:32:12	3.81	3.18	1.92
2026-09-04 08:52:12	3.81	3.18	1.92
2026-09-04 09:12:12	3.81	3.18	1.92
2026-09-04 09:32:12	3.81	3.18	1.92
2026-09-04 09:52:11	3.50	3.23	1.91
2026-09-04 09:52:12	3.90	3.17	1.93
2026-09-04 10:12:10	3.81	3.18	1.92
2026-09-04 10:32:11	3.81	3.18	1.92
2026-09-04 10:52:11	3.86	3.19	1.90
2026-09-04 11:12:11	3.86	3.19	1.90
2026-09-04 11:32:11	3.86	3.19	1.90
2026-09-04 11:52:11	3.86	3.19	1.90
2026-09-04 12:12:10	3.86	3.19	1.90
2026-09-04 12:32:12	3.86	3.19	1.90
2026-09-04 12:52:11	3.86	3.19	1.90
2026-09-04 13:12:10	3.86	3.19	1.90
2026-09-04 13:32:10	3.86	3.19	1.90
2026-09-04 13:52:11	3.72	3.15	1.90
2026-09-04 13:52:12	3.84	3.01	1.98
2026-09-04 14:12:10	3.78	3.08	1.94
2026-09-04 14:32:12	3.78	3.08	1.94
2026-09-04 14:52:12	3.78	3.08	1.94
2026-09-04 15:12:10	3.78	3.08	1.94
2026-09-04 15:32:11	3.78	3.08	1.94
2026-09-04 15:52:11	3.78	3.08	1.94
2026-09-04 16:12:09	3.78	3.08	1.94
2026-09-04 16:32:11	3.78	3.08	1.94
2026-09-04 16:52:11	3.74	3.07	1.96
2026-09-04 17:12:11	3.74	3.07	1.96
2026-09-04 17:32:12	3.74	3.07	1.96
2026-09-04 17:52:13	3.74	3.07	1.96
2026-09-04 18:12:10	3.74	3.07	1.96
2026-09-04 18:32:11	3.74	3.07	1.96
2026-09-04 18:52:11	3.74	3.07	1.96
2026-09-04 19:12:11	3.74	3.07	1.96
2026-09-04 19:32:10	3.74	3.07	1.96
2026-09-04 19:52:12	3.65	3.13	1.92
2026-09-04 19:52:13	3.87	3.05	1.94
2026-09-04 20:12:10	3.82	3.07	1.94
2026-09-04 20:32:11	3.82	3.07	1.94
2026-09-04 20:52:12	3.82	3.07	1.94
2026-09-04 21:12:11	3.82	3.07	1.94
2026-09-04 21:32:10	3.82	3.07	1.94
2026-09-04 21:52:12	3.83	3.07	1.93
2026-09-04 21:52:13	3.80	3.08	1.98
2026-09-04 22:12:10	3.82	3.07	1.94
2026-09-04 22:32:11	3.83	3.07	1.93
2026-09-04 22:32:12	3.80	3.08	1.98
2026-09-04 22:52:13	3.74	3.05	1.97
2026-09-04 23:12:14	3.74	3.05	1.97
2026-09-04 23:32:10	3.74	3.05	1.97
2026-09-04 23:52:12	3.40	3.00	2.00
2026-09-04 23:52:13	3.78	3.06	1.97

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.04	Nasaf	6 : 2	Neftchi
2026.04.18	Neftchi	2 : 1	Nasaf