경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Eredivisie Netherlands · Regular Season - 3

NEC NijmegenHOME · 1.61

2 : 22026.09.09 · 종료

ExcelsiorAWAY · 4.85

HOME · 현재 순위 10위 승점 6 · 4경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 5위 승점 9 · 4경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME27.9%

DRAW21.7%

AWAY50.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH84 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK AWAY 40.1% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +31.1%

VALUE EDGE+31.1%

FAIR ODDS1.98

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM AWAY -52.4%p

HOME_AWAY AWAY -33.3%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -8.8%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE EVEN +0.6%p

INJURIES AWAY -5.4%p

NEC Nijmegen분석 지표Excelsior

25.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 75.0%

1.17 평균 득점높을수록 유리 2.83

2.00 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.33

20.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 87.5%

3.1일 휴식일비교용 지표 2.9일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

84/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도8.0 / 15

예측 분리도9.7 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보5.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME58.3%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승65.5%표본 110경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 2경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승40.5%현재 이동 +7.3%

OPEN → NOW1.50 → 1.61배당 업데이트 2026-09-08 23:52:05

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

27.9%

DRAW

21.7%

AWAY

50.4%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

NEC Nijmegen

L · 1-3W · 1-3L · 3-0L · 1-3W · 1-4

Excelsior

W · 0-3W · 2-1L · 1-2W · 0-4W · 1-5

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.57

→

CURRENT1.62

+2.80%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.40

→

CURRENT4.20

-4.40%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN5.01

→

CURRENT4.84

-3.39%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-08 11:52:05	1.57	4.40	5.01
2026-09-08 12:02:04	1.57	4.35	4.85
2026-09-08 12:02:05	1.57	4.40	5.02
2026-09-08 12:12:04	1.57	4.40	5.01
2026-09-08 12:22:05	1.57	4.40	5.01
2026-09-08 12:32:05	1.57	4.40	5.01
2026-09-08 12:42:04	1.57	4.40	5.01
2026-09-08 12:52:05	1.57	4.40	5.01
2026-09-08 13:02:05	1.57	4.40	5.01
2026-09-08 13:12:05	1.57	4.40	5.01
2026-09-08 13:22:05	1.57	4.40	5.01
2026-09-08 13:32:05	1.57	4.40	5.01
2026-09-08 13:42:04	1.57	4.40	5.01
2026-09-08 13:52:04	1.57	4.40	5.01
2026-09-08 14:02:04	1.57	4.40	5.01
2026-09-08 14:12:04	1.57	4.40	5.01
2026-09-08 14:22:05	1.58	4.37	4.98
2026-09-08 14:32:06	1.58	4.37	4.98
2026-09-08 14:42:05	1.58	4.37	4.98
2026-09-08 14:52:05	1.58	4.37	4.98
2026-09-08 15:02:05	1.58	4.37	4.98
2026-09-08 15:12:05	1.58	4.37	4.98
2026-09-08 15:22:06	1.58	4.37	4.98
2026-09-08 15:32:05	1.58	4.37	4.98
2026-09-08 15:42:04	1.58	4.37	4.98
2026-09-08 15:52:05	1.58	4.37	4.98
2026-09-08 16:02:04	1.58	4.37	4.98
2026-09-08 16:12:04	1.58	4.37	4.98
2026-09-08 16:22:04	1.58	4.37	4.98
2026-09-08 16:32:05	1.58	4.37	4.98
2026-09-08 16:42:05	1.58	4.37	4.98
2026-09-08 16:52:05	1.58	4.37	4.98
2026-09-08 17:02:04	1.58	4.37	4.98
2026-09-08 17:12:05	1.58	4.37	4.98
2026-09-08 17:22:06	1.58	4.33	5.03
2026-09-08 17:32:06	1.58	4.33	5.03
2026-09-08 17:42:05	1.58	4.33	5.03
2026-09-08 17:52:06	1.58	4.33	5.03
2026-09-08 18:02:05	1.58	4.33	5.03
2026-09-08 18:12:05	1.57	4.30	5.02
2026-09-08 18:12:06	1.63	4.43	5.07
2026-09-08 18:22:06	1.58	4.33	5.03
2026-09-08 18:32:05	1.56	4.31	5.00
2026-09-08 18:32:06	1.61	4.35	5.06
2026-09-08 18:42:05	1.58	4.33	5.03
2026-09-08 18:52:05	1.58	4.33	5.03
2026-09-08 19:02:05	1.58	4.33	5.03
2026-09-08 19:12:05	1.56	4.29	4.99
2026-09-08 19:12:06	1.62	4.41	5.11
2026-09-08 19:22:06	1.58	4.33	5.03
2026-09-08 19:32:06	1.58	4.33	5.03
2026-09-08 19:42:05	1.58	4.33	5.03
2026-09-08 19:52:06	1.58	4.33	5.03
2026-09-08 20:02:05	1.58	4.33	5.03
2026-09-08 20:12:05	1.58	4.33	5.03
2026-09-08 20:22:06	1.60	4.25	4.92
2026-09-08 20:32:06	1.60	4.25	4.92
2026-09-08 20:42:05	1.60	4.25	4.92
2026-09-08 20:52:05	1.60	4.23	4.92
2026-09-08 20:52:06	1.62	4.50	4.90
2026-09-08 21:02:04	1.59	4.20	4.89
2026-09-08 21:02:05	1.62	4.30	4.96
2026-09-08 21:12:05	1.60	4.25	4.92
2026-09-08 21:22:06	1.60	4.25	4.92
2026-09-08 21:32:05	1.60	4.25	4.92
2026-09-08 21:42:05	1.60	4.25	4.92
2026-09-08 21:52:06	1.60	4.25	4.92
2026-09-08 22:02:05	1.60	4.25	4.92
2026-09-08 22:12:05	1.60	4.25	4.92
2026-09-08 22:22:07	1.60	4.25	4.92
2026-09-08 22:32:05	1.60	4.25	4.92
2026-09-08 22:42:05	1.60	4.25	4.92
2026-09-08 22:52:05	1.57	4.30	5.00
2026-09-08 22:52:06	1.61	4.25	4.91
2026-09-08 23:02:06	1.60	4.25	4.92
2026-09-08 23:12:05	1.60	4.25	4.92
2026-09-08 23:22:06	1.62	4.20	4.84
2026-09-08 23:32:06	1.62	4.20	4.84
2026-09-08 23:42:05	1.62	4.20	4.84
2026-09-08 23:52:05	1.62	4.20	4.84

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.09	NEC Nijmegen	2 : 2	Excelsior
2026.04.05	Excelsior	0 : 2	NEC Nijmegen
2025.08.09	NEC Nijmegen	5 : 0	Excelsior