경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Primera División Uruguay · Clausura - 5

CerroHOME · 4.50

1 : 02026.09.06 · 종료

Racing MontevideoAWAY · 1.83

HOME · 현재 순위 9위 승점 7 · 4경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 3위 승점 8 · 4경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME21.4%

DRAW43.0%

AWAY35.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH82 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK DRAW 36.8% CAL

VALUE PICK DRAW +13.0%

VALUE EDGE+13.0%

FAIR ODDS2.33

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 81/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +7.9%p

HOME_AWAY AWAY -2.8%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -24.6%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -4.8%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

Cerro분석 지표Racing Montevideo

33.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 41.7%

1.08 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.17

1.50 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.25

20.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 16.7%

4.7일 휴식일비교용 지표 2.6일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

82/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도7.0 / 15

예측 분리도3.1 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보5.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME20.2%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승33.3%표본 6경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승43.3%현재 이동 +3.1%

OPEN → NOW4.37 → 4.50배당 업데이트 2026-09-06 19:33:42

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

21.4%

DRAW

43.0%

AWAY

35.7%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Cerro

D · 1-1D · 1-1L · 4-0W · 2-1W · 0-1

Racing Montevideo

W · 1-2W · 1-0D · 0-0W · 2-0D · 2-2

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME54 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.42

→

CURRENT4.51

+2.23%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW54 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.10

→

CURRENT3.08

-0.59%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY54 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.82

→

CURRENT1.84

+0.82%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-05 06:15:14	4.42	3.10	1.82
2026-09-06 00:22:08	4.33	3.00	1.86
2026-09-06 00:22:09	4.52	3.10	1.83
2026-09-06 00:52:04	4.45	3.06	1.84
2026-09-06 00:52:08	4.45	3.06	1.84
2026-09-06 01:22:07	4.45	3.06	1.84
2026-09-06 01:22:14	4.33	3.00	1.86
2026-09-06 01:22:15	4.52	3.10	1.83
2026-09-06 01:52:04	4.45	3.06	1.84
2026-09-06 01:52:07	4.45	3.06	1.84
2026-09-06 02:22:06	4.45	3.06	1.84
2026-09-06 02:22:11	4.45	3.06	1.84
2026-09-06 02:52:11	4.37	3.01	1.84
2026-09-06 02:52:12	4.54	3.11	1.84
2026-09-06 03:22:13	4.45	3.06	1.84
2026-09-06 03:52:26	4.49	3.07	1.83
2026-09-06 03:52:27	4.60	3.04	1.81
2026-09-06 04:22:37	4.51	3.07	1.83
2026-09-06 04:52:30	4.51	3.07	1.83
2026-09-06 04:52:33	4.51	3.07	1.83
2026-09-06 05:22:34	4.51	3.07	1.83
2026-09-06 05:22:37	4.51	3.07	1.83
2026-09-06 05:52:51	4.49	3.07	1.83
2026-09-06 05:52:52	4.60	3.04	1.81
2026-09-06 05:52:55	4.51	3.07	1.83
2026-09-06 06:22:41	4.51	3.07	1.83
2026-09-06 06:22:44	4.49	3.07	1.83
2026-09-06 06:22:45	4.60	3.04	1.81
2026-09-06 06:52:43	4.44	3.01	1.81
2026-09-06 06:52:44	4.58	3.12	1.84
2026-09-06 06:52:47	4.50	3.00	1.85
2026-09-06 06:52:48	4.51	3.08	1.82
2026-09-06 07:23:02	4.42	3.04	1.82
2026-09-06 07:23:03	4.71	3.14	1.83
2026-09-06 07:52:49	4.52	3.08	1.82
2026-09-06 08:23:18	4.51	3.08	1.82
2026-09-06 08:23:19	4.60	3.06	1.80
2026-09-06 08:53:08	4.52	3.08	1.82
2026-09-06 09:23:19	4.52	3.08	1.82
2026-09-06 09:52:41	4.52	3.08	1.82
2026-09-06 10:23:08	4.52	3.08	1.82
2026-09-06 11:23:17	4.52	3.08	1.82
2026-09-06 11:52:45	4.52	3.08	1.82
2026-09-06 12:23:15	4.42	3.04	1.82
2026-09-06 12:23:16	4.74	3.16	1.82
2026-09-06 12:53:10	4.52	3.08	1.82
2026-09-06 13:22:59	4.52	3.08	1.82
2026-09-06 13:53:10	4.52	3.08	1.82
2026-09-06 14:23:07	4.50	3.08	1.83
2026-09-06 14:53:17	4.50	3.08	1.83
2026-09-06 18:23:44	4.40	3.00	1.91
2026-09-06 18:23:45	4.54	3.10	1.82
2026-09-06 18:53:56	4.51	3.08	1.84
2026-09-06 19:33:42	4.51	3.08	1.84

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.06	Cerro	1 : 0	Racing Montevideo
2026.07.27	Cerro	1 : 0	Racing Montevideo
2026.03.08	Racing Montevideo	1 : 0	Cerro
2026.01.15	Racing Montevideo	2 : 1	Cerro