경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Meistriliiga Estonia · Regular Season - 22

PaideHOME · 1.36

2 : 02026.09.17 · 종료

VaprusAWAY · 6.00

HOME · 현재 순위 4위 승점 45 · 27경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 7위 승점 34 · 27경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME40.9%

DRAW25.1%

AWAY34.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH86 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 36.7% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +19.2%

VALUE EDGE+19.2%

FAIR ODDS2.94

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 64/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +13.7%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +5.6%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +19.8%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -6.3%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

H2H EVEN +0.0%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE

Paide분석 지표Vaprus

41.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 41.7%

1.42 평균 득점높을수록 유리 2.17

1.58 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.92

40.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 28.6%

3.2일 휴식일비교용 지표 4.2일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

86/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도12.1 / 15

예측 분리도3.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보3.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME65.4%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승66.0%표본 50경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승50.0%표본 2경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승47.4%현재 이동 -13.4%

OPEN → NOW1.57 → 1.36배당 업데이트 2026-09-16 23:52:06

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

40.9%

DRAW

25.1%

AWAY

34.0%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Paide

L · 1-2W · 0-2L · 0-2W · 1-2L · 4-1

Vaprus

L · 4-0W · 3-2W · 1-0L · 3-2L · 1-2

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.43

→

CURRENT1.37

-4.52%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.40

→

CURRENT4.52

+2.84%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN5.50

→

CURRENT5.92

+7.66%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-16 00:52:03	1.43	4.40	5.50
2026-09-16 01:02:03	1.43	4.40	5.50
2026-09-16 01:12:03	1.43	4.40	5.50
2026-09-16 01:22:03	1.43	4.40	5.50
2026-09-16 01:32:03	1.43	4.40	5.50
2026-09-16 01:42:03	1.43	4.40	5.50
2026-09-16 01:52:03	1.43	4.40	5.50
2026-09-16 02:02:03	1.43	4.40	5.50
2026-09-16 02:12:03	1.43	4.40	5.50
2026-09-16 02:22:03	1.43	4.40	5.50
2026-09-16 02:32:02	1.43	4.40	5.50
2026-09-16 02:42:04	1.43	4.40	5.50
2026-09-16 02:52:03	1.43	4.40	5.50
2026-09-16 03:12:03	1.43	4.40	5.50
2026-09-16 03:32:03	1.43	4.40	5.50
2026-09-16 03:52:04	1.43	4.40	5.50
2026-09-16 04:12:05	1.43	4.40	5.50
2026-09-16 04:32:05	1.43	4.40	5.50
2026-09-16 04:52:05	1.43	4.40	5.50
2026-09-16 05:12:04	1.43	4.40	5.50
2026-09-16 05:32:05	1.43	4.40	5.50
2026-09-16 05:52:05	1.43	4.40	5.50
2026-09-16 06:12:04	1.43	4.40	5.50
2026-09-16 06:32:05	1.43	4.40	5.50
2026-09-16 06:52:06	1.43	4.40	5.50
2026-09-16 07:12:05	1.43	4.40	5.50
2026-09-16 07:32:06	1.43	4.40	5.50
2026-09-16 07:52:05	1.42	4.38	5.48
2026-09-16 07:52:06	1.45	4.42	5.54
2026-09-16 08:12:04	1.43	4.40	5.50
2026-09-16 08:32:04	1.43	4.40	5.50
2026-09-16 08:52:05	1.43	4.40	5.50
2026-09-16 09:12:05	1.43	4.40	5.50
2026-09-16 09:32:05	1.43	4.40	5.50
2026-09-16 09:52:06	1.42	4.34	5.42
2026-09-16 10:12:05	1.42	4.34	5.42
2026-09-16 10:32:05	1.42	4.34	5.42
2026-09-16 10:52:05	1.42	4.34	5.42
2026-09-16 11:12:05	1.42	4.34	5.42
2026-09-16 11:32:04	1.42	4.34	5.42
2026-09-16 11:52:04	1.42	4.34	5.42
2026-09-16 12:12:05	1.42	4.34	5.42
2026-09-16 12:32:04	1.41	4.29	5.34
2026-09-16 12:32:05	1.45	4.42	5.54
2026-09-16 12:52:06	1.42	4.34	5.42
2026-09-16 13:12:04	1.42	4.34	5.42
2026-09-16 13:32:05	1.41	4.29	5.34
2026-09-16 13:32:06	1.45	4.42	5.54
2026-09-16 13:52:05	1.42	4.34	5.42
2026-09-16 14:12:05	1.42	4.34	5.42
2026-09-16 14:32:06	1.42	4.34	5.42
2026-09-16 14:52:06	1.42	4.34	5.42
2026-09-16 15:12:05	1.42	4.34	5.42
2026-09-16 15:32:07	1.42	4.34	5.42
2026-09-16 15:52:05	1.42	4.32	5.38
2026-09-16 16:12:06	1.42	4.32	5.38
2026-09-16 16:32:06	1.42	4.32	5.38
2026-09-16 16:52:05	1.42	4.32	5.38
2026-09-16 17:12:05	1.42	4.32	5.38
2026-09-16 17:32:05	1.42	4.32	5.38
2026-09-16 17:52:07	1.42	4.32	5.38
2026-09-16 18:12:05	1.42	4.32	5.38
2026-09-16 18:32:06	1.42	4.32	5.38
2026-09-16 18:52:05	1.42	4.32	5.46
2026-09-16 19:12:03	1.42	4.32	5.46
2026-09-16 19:32:05	1.42	4.32	5.46
2026-09-16 19:52:05	1.42	4.32	5.46
2026-09-16 20:12:05	1.42	4.32	5.46
2026-09-16 20:32:05	1.41	4.21	5.30
2026-09-16 20:32:06	1.44	4.53	5.77
2026-09-16 20:52:05	1.42	4.32	5.46
2026-09-16 21:12:05	1.42	4.32	5.46
2026-09-16 21:32:06	1.42	4.32	5.46
2026-09-16 21:52:06	1.37	4.52	5.92
2026-09-16 22:12:12	1.37	4.52	5.92
2026-09-16 22:32:06	1.37	4.52	5.92
2026-09-16 22:52:06	1.37	4.52	5.92
2026-09-16 23:12:06	1.37	4.52	5.92
2026-09-16 23:32:06	1.37	4.52	5.92
2026-09-16 23:52:06	1.37	4.52	5.92

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.17	Paide	2 : 0	Vaprus
2026.07.05	Paide	3 : 1	Vaprus
2026.03.07	Vaprus	3 : 2	Paide