경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

MLS Next Pro USA · Group Stage

Ventura CountyHOME · 1.98

3 : 02026.09.14 · 종료

Tacoma DefianceAWAY · 2.97

HOME · 현재 순위 4위 승점 50 · 26경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 8위 승점 39 · 26경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME66.9%

DRAW17.5%

AWAY15.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH86 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 46.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +21.5%

VALUE EDGE+21.5%

FAIR ODDS1.50

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +30.1%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +27.8%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +11.5%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +4.5%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE

Ventura County분석 지표Tacoma Defiance

58.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%

2.42 평균 득점높을수록 유리 2.00

1.17 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.75

66.7% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 42.9%

3.3일 휴식일비교용 지표 8.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

86/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도11.6 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME45.4%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승47.6%표본 124경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승66.7%표본 3경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승47.1%현재 이동 -1.0%

OPEN → NOW2.00 → 1.98배당 업데이트 2026-09-14 23:52:09

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

66.9%

DRAW

17.5%

AWAY

15.6%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Ventura County

W · 1-3D · 1-1W · 2-3D · 2-2W · 0-2

Tacoma Defiance

W · 1-2L · 3-0W · 4-0L · 4-3L · 3-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.98

→

CURRENT1.98

+0.00%UNCHANGED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.72

→

CURRENT3.72

+0.00%UNCHANGED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.96

→

CURRENT2.96

+0.00%UNCHANGED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-14 12:42:05	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 12:52:13	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 13:02:15	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 13:12:12	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 13:22:16	1.98	3.59	2.96
2026-09-14 13:22:17	1.99	3.81	2.96
2026-09-14 13:32:22	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 13:42:06	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 13:52:13	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 14:02:14	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 14:02:15	1.98	3.70	2.95
2026-09-14 14:12:08	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 14:22:13	1.98	3.55	2.95
2026-09-14 14:22:14	1.99	3.78	2.96
2026-09-14 14:32:19	1.98	3.70	2.93
2026-09-14 14:32:20	2.00	3.77	3.02
2026-09-14 14:42:13	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 14:52:20	1.97	3.67	2.92
2026-09-14 14:52:21	2.00	3.78	3.01
2026-09-14 15:02:22	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 15:12:06	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 15:22:17	1.97	3.67	2.92
2026-09-14 15:22:18	2.00	3.78	3.01
2026-09-14 15:32:22	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 15:42:10	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 15:52:16	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 16:02:18	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 16:12:07	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 16:22:18	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 16:32:19	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 16:42:06	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 16:52:14	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 17:02:15	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 17:12:12	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 17:22:15	1.95	3.40	3.00
2026-09-14 17:22:16	1.99	3.77	2.95
2026-09-14 17:32:26	1.95	3.40	3.00
2026-09-14 17:32:27	1.99	3.77	2.95
2026-09-14 17:42:07	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 17:52:13	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 18:02:21	1.97	3.67	2.92
2026-09-14 18:02:22	2.00	3.78	3.01
2026-09-14 18:12:11	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 18:22:24	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 18:22:25	1.98	3.70	2.95
2026-09-14 18:32:40	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 18:42:06	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 18:52:15	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 18:52:16	1.98	3.70	2.95
2026-09-14 19:02:18	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 19:12:12	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 19:22:30	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 19:32:43	1.98	3.55	2.95
2026-09-14 19:32:44	1.99	3.78	2.96
2026-09-14 19:42:07	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 19:52:07	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 20:02:06	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 20:12:06	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 20:22:07	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 20:32:06	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 20:42:06	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 20:52:07	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 21:02:06	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 21:12:06	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 21:22:07	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 21:32:07	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 21:42:07	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 21:52:09	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 22:02:07	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 22:12:07	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 22:22:17	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 22:32:07	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 22:42:08	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 22:52:09	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 23:02:07	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 23:12:08	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 23:22:08	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 23:32:08	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 23:42:08	1.98	3.72	2.96
2026-09-14 23:52:09	1.98	3.72	2.96

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.14	Ventura County	3 : 0	Tacoma Defiance
2026.05.23	Tacoma Defiance	1 : 0	Ventura County
2026.03.30	Tacoma Defiance	0 : 1	Ventura County