경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

MLS Next Pro USA · Group Stage

The TownHOME · 1.73

1 : 22026.09.06 · 종료

Tacoma DefianceAWAY · 3.75

HOME · 현재 순위 9위 승점 36 · 24경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 8위 승점 36 · 25경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME72.8%

DRAW15.9%

AWAY11.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH83 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 52.4% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +20.5%

VALUE EDGE+20.5%

FAIR ODDS1.37

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +20.8%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +27.0%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +2.9%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +8.4%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE

The Town분석 지표Tacoma Defiance

25.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 41.7%

1.08 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.83

1.33 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.92

28.6% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 28.6%

6.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 6.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

83/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도7.9 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME52.3%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승50.6%표본 176경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승20.0%표본 5경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승47.2%현재 이동 -1.1%

OPEN → NOW1.75 → 1.73배당 업데이트 2026-09-06 23:42:43

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

72.8%

DRAW

15.9%

AWAY

11.3%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

The Town

W · 3-2L · 1-0D · 1-1L · 0-2D · 1-1

Tacoma Defiance

L · 3-0W · 4-0L · 4-3L · 3-1W · 4-2

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME62 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.77

→

CURRENT1.73

-2.16%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW62 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.82

→

CURRENT3.83

+0.02%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY62 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.61

→

CURRENT3.70

+2.48%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-05 00:15:18	1.77	3.82	3.61
2026-09-05 12:15:22	1.73	3.83	3.66
2026-09-06 00:02:45	1.73	3.83	3.69
2026-09-06 00:33:07	1.74	3.70	3.63
2026-09-06 00:33:08	1.72	3.95	3.76
2026-09-06 01:02:16	1.73	3.83	3.69
2026-09-06 01:32:37	1.73	3.83	3.69
2026-09-06 01:32:42	1.73	3.83	3.69
2026-09-06 02:02:17	1.73	3.83	3.69
2026-09-06 02:32:38	1.73	3.83	3.69
2026-09-06 03:02:47	1.73	3.83	3.69
2026-09-06 03:32:44	1.73	3.83	3.69
2026-09-06 04:02:33	1.73	3.83	3.69
2026-09-06 04:32:43	1.73	3.83	3.69
2026-09-06 05:02:34	1.73	3.83	3.69
2026-09-06 05:32:47	1.73	3.83	3.69
2026-09-06 06:02:32	1.73	3.83	3.69
2026-09-06 06:32:49	1.73	3.83	3.69
2026-09-06 07:02:44	1.73	3.83	3.69
2026-09-06 07:32:55	1.73	3.83	3.69
2026-09-06 08:02:36	1.73	3.83	3.69
2026-09-06 08:32:57	1.73	3.60	3.75
2026-09-06 08:32:58	1.73	3.90	3.67
2026-09-06 09:02:28	1.73	3.83	3.69
2026-09-06 09:32:54	1.73	3.76	3.67
2026-09-06 09:32:55	1.73	4.02	3.77
2026-09-06 10:02:17	1.73	3.83	3.69
2026-09-06 10:32:42	1.73	3.60	3.75
2026-09-06 10:32:43	1.73	3.90	3.68
2026-09-06 11:02:38	1.73	3.83	3.70
2026-09-06 11:32:59	1.73	3.83	3.70
2026-09-06 12:02:28	1.73	3.83	3.70
2026-09-06 12:33:13	1.73	3.83	3.70
2026-09-06 13:02:34	1.73	3.83	3.70
2026-09-06 13:32:58	1.73	3.83	3.70
2026-09-06 14:03:00	1.73	3.76	3.67
2026-09-06 14:03:01	1.73	4.02	3.78
2026-09-06 14:32:44	1.73	3.83	3.70
2026-09-06 15:03:02	1.73	3.83	3.70
2026-09-06 15:32:28	1.73	3.83	3.70
2026-09-06 16:02:59	1.73	3.83	3.70
2026-09-06 16:33:05	1.73	3.60	3.75
2026-09-06 16:33:06	1.73	3.90	3.68
2026-09-06 17:02:43	1.73	3.83	3.70
2026-09-06 17:33:21	1.73	3.83	3.70
2026-09-06 18:02:42	1.73	3.83	3.70
2026-09-06 18:02:43	1.73	3.83	3.70
2026-09-06 18:33:50	1.74	3.70	3.63
2026-09-06 18:33:51	1.72	3.95	3.77
2026-09-06 18:33:52	1.73	3.76	3.67
2026-09-06 18:33:53	1.73	4.02	3.78
2026-09-06 19:12:58	1.73	3.83	3.70
2026-09-06 19:12:59	1.73	3.83	3.70
2026-09-06 19:54:06	1.73	3.83	3.70
2026-09-06 20:32:57	1.73	3.83	3.70
2026-09-06 21:12:53	1.73	3.83	3.70
2026-09-06 21:42:53	1.73	3.60	3.75
2026-09-06 21:42:54	1.73	3.90	3.68
2026-09-06 22:13:06	1.73	3.83	3.70
2026-09-06 22:42:53	1.73	3.83	3.70
2026-09-06 23:12:55	1.73	3.83	3.70
2026-09-06 23:42:43	1.73	3.83	3.70

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.06	The Town	1 : 2	Tacoma Defiance
2026.07.13	The Town	0 : 1	Tacoma Defiance
2026.03.15	Tacoma Defiance	0 : 0	The Town