LIVE 33 오늘 290경기

경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

Primera B Chile · Regular Season - 16
Deportes Santa CruzHOME · 2.42
1 : 22026.10.04 · 종료
San Marcos de AricaAWAY · 2.78
HOME · 현재 순위 14위 승점 22 · 26경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위 7위 승점 39 · 26경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME19.8%
DRAW23.3%
AWAY57.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH81 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 86/100
AI PICK AWAY 45.0% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +24.1%
VALUE EDGE+24.1%
FAIR ODDS1.76
GRADES
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK
RECENT_FORM EVEN +2.0%p
HOME_AWAY AWAY -8.3%p
LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -13.0%p
INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p
REST AWAY -40.0%p
• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Deportes Santa Cruz분석 지표San Marcos de Arica
16.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 25.0%
0.83 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.08
1.42 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.42
0.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 0.0%
6.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 14.0일
API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

81/100 HIGH
데이터 커버리지17.1 / 20
시장/배당15.0 / 15
최근 전력10.0 / 10
과거 표본4.5 / 10
모델 일치도6.5 / 15
예측 분리도14.4 / 15
데이터 신선도8.5 / 10
종목 핵심정보2.8 / 5
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME37.7%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승39.9%표본 168경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승50.0%표본 4경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승46.1%현재 이동 +1.0%
OPEN → NOW2.40 → 2.42배당 업데이트 2026-10-03 15:32:17

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
HOME
19.8%
DRAW
23.3%
AWAY
57.0%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Deportes Santa Cruz
L · 2-1D · 0-0W · 0-1D · 1-1D · 0-0
San Marcos de Arica
W · 3-0L · 2-1W · 2-1L · 2-0L · 1-2

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
+8.0%+4.0%0.0%-4.0%-8.0%10/03 00:0210/03 03:1210/03 06:1210/03 12:2210/03 15:32HOME · 배당 2.38 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:02:11HOME · 배당 2.38 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:42:10HOME · 배당 2.37 · 변동 -0.52% · 2026-10-03 01:12:16HOME · 배당 2.42 · 변동 +1.57% · 2026-10-03 01:12:17HOME · 배당 2.42 · 변동 +1.47% · 2026-10-03 01:42:12HOME · 배당 2.42 · 변동 +1.47% · 2026-10-03 02:12:12HOME · 배당 2.42 · 변동 +1.47% · 2026-10-03 02:42:13HOME · 배당 2.35 · 변동 -1.36% · 2026-10-03 03:12:12HOME · 배당 2.44 · 변동 +2.41% · 2026-10-03 03:12:13HOME · 배당 2.42 · 변동 +1.47% · 2026-10-03 03:42:12HOME · 배당 2.42 · 변동 +1.47% · 2026-10-03 04:12:11HOME · 배당 2.40 · 변동 +0.59% · 2026-10-03 04:42:13HOME · 배당 2.48 · 변동 +4.09% · 2026-10-03 04:42:14HOME · 배당 2.42 · 변동 +1.47% · 2026-10-03 05:12:13HOME · 배당 2.42 · 변동 +1.47% · 2026-10-03 05:42:12HOME · 배당 2.42 · 변동 +1.47% · 2026-10-03 06:12:12HOME · 배당 2.42 · 변동 +1.47% · 2026-10-03 09:22:15HOME · 배당 2.42 · 변동 +1.47% · 2026-10-03 09:52:15HOME · 배당 2.42 · 변동 +1.47% · 2026-10-03 10:22:15HOME · 배당 2.42 · 변동 +1.36% · 2026-10-03 10:52:16HOME · 배당 2.42 · 변동 +1.36% · 2026-10-03 11:22:15HOME · 배당 2.42 · 변동 +1.36% · 2026-10-03 11:52:16HOME · 배당 2.42 · 변동 +1.36% · 2026-10-03 12:22:18HOME · 배당 2.42 · 변동 +1.36% · 2026-10-03 12:52:13HOME · 배당 2.42 · 변동 +1.36% · 2026-10-03 13:22:16HOME · 배당 2.42 · 변동 +1.36% · 2026-10-03 13:52:15HOME · 배당 2.41 · 변동 +1.15% · 2026-10-03 14:22:14HOME · 배당 2.45 · 변동 +2.83% · 2026-10-03 14:22:15HOME · 배당 2.42 · 변동 +1.36% · 2026-10-03 14:52:17HOME · 배당 2.42 · 변동 +1.36% · 2026-10-03 15:32:17DRAW · 배당 3.11 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:02:11DRAW · 배당 3.11 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:42:10DRAW · 배당 3.05 · 변동 -1.97% · 2026-10-03 01:12:16DRAW · 배당 3.30 · 변동 +5.91% · 2026-10-03 01:12:17DRAW · 배당 3.15 · 변동 +1.12% · 2026-10-03 01:42:12DRAW · 배당 3.15 · 변동 +1.12% · 2026-10-03 02:12:12DRAW · 배당 3.15 · 변동 +1.12% · 2026-10-03 02:42:13DRAW · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -0.36% · 2026-10-03 03:12:12DRAW · 배당 3.16 · 변동 +1.62% · 2026-10-03 03:12:13DRAW · 배당 3.15 · 변동 +1.12% · 2026-10-03 03:42:12DRAW · 배당 3.15 · 변동 +1.12% · 2026-10-03 04:12:11DRAW · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -0.42% · 2026-10-03 04:42:13DRAW · 배당 3.29 · 변동 +5.75% · 2026-10-03 04:42:14DRAW · 배당 3.15 · 변동 +1.12% · 2026-10-03 05:12:13DRAW · 배당 3.15 · 변동 +1.12% · 2026-10-03 05:42:12DRAW · 배당 3.15 · 변동 +1.12% · 2026-10-03 06:12:12DRAW · 배당 3.15 · 변동 +1.12% · 2026-10-03 09:22:15DRAW · 배당 3.15 · 변동 +1.12% · 2026-10-03 09:52:15DRAW · 배당 3.15 · 변동 +1.12% · 2026-10-03 10:22:15DRAW · 배당 3.13 · 변동 +0.72% · 2026-10-03 10:52:16DRAW · 배당 3.13 · 변동 +0.72% · 2026-10-03 11:22:15DRAW · 배당 3.13 · 변동 +0.72% · 2026-10-03 11:52:16DRAW · 배당 3.13 · 변동 +0.72% · 2026-10-03 12:22:18DRAW · 배당 3.13 · 변동 +0.72% · 2026-10-03 12:52:13DRAW · 배당 3.13 · 변동 +0.72% · 2026-10-03 13:22:16DRAW · 배당 3.13 · 변동 +0.72% · 2026-10-03 13:52:15DRAW · 배당 3.12 · 변동 +0.42% · 2026-10-03 14:22:14DRAW · 배당 3.20 · 변동 +2.85% · 2026-10-03 14:22:15DRAW · 배당 3.13 · 변동 +0.72% · 2026-10-03 14:52:17DRAW · 배당 3.13 · 변동 +0.72% · 2026-10-03 15:32:17AWAY · 배당 2.84 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:02:11AWAY · 배당 2.84 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:42:10AWAY · 배당 2.81 · 변동 -0.76% · 2026-10-03 01:12:16AWAY · 배당 2.90 · 변동 +2.29% · 2026-10-03 01:12:17AWAY · 배당 2.76 · 변동 -2.65% · 2026-10-03 01:42:12AWAY · 배당 2.76 · 변동 -2.65% · 2026-10-03 02:12:12AWAY · 배당 2.76 · 변동 -2.65% · 2026-10-03 02:42:13AWAY · 배당 2.71 · 변동 -4.41% · 2026-10-03 03:12:12AWAY · 배당 2.78 · 변동 -2.06% · 2026-10-03 03:12:13AWAY · 배당 2.76 · 변동 -2.65% · 2026-10-03 03:42:12AWAY · 배당 2.76 · 변동 -2.65% · 2026-10-03 04:12:11AWAY · 배당 2.74 · 변동 -3.53% · 2026-10-03 04:42:13AWAY · 배당 2.84 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 04:42:14AWAY · 배당 2.76 · 변동 -2.65% · 2026-10-03 05:12:13AWAY · 배당 2.76 · 변동 -2.65% · 2026-10-03 05:42:12AWAY · 배당 2.76 · 변동 -2.65% · 2026-10-03 06:12:12AWAY · 배당 2.76 · 변동 -2.65% · 2026-10-03 09:22:15AWAY · 배당 2.76 · 변동 -2.65% · 2026-10-03 09:52:15AWAY · 배당 2.76 · 변동 -2.65% · 2026-10-03 10:22:15AWAY · 배당 2.76 · 변동 -2.65% · 2026-10-03 10:52:16AWAY · 배당 2.76 · 변동 -2.65% · 2026-10-03 11:22:15AWAY · 배당 2.76 · 변동 -2.65% · 2026-10-03 11:52:16AWAY · 배당 2.76 · 변동 -2.65% · 2026-10-03 12:22:18AWAY · 배당 2.76 · 변동 -2.65% · 2026-10-03 12:52:13AWAY · 배당 2.76 · 변동 -2.65% · 2026-10-03 13:22:16AWAY · 배당 2.76 · 변동 -2.65% · 2026-10-03 13:52:15AWAY · 배당 2.74 · 변동 -3.20% · 2026-10-03 14:22:14AWAY · 배당 2.87 · 변동 +1.23% · 2026-10-03 14:22:15AWAY · 배당 2.76 · 변동 -2.65% · 2026-10-03 14:52:17AWAY · 배당 2.76 · 변동 -2.65% · 2026-10-03 15:32:17
HOME30 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN2.38
→
CURRENT2.42
+1.36%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW30 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.11
→
CURRENT3.13
+0.72%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY30 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN2.84
→
CURRENT2.76
-2.65%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
수집시간HOMEDRAWAWAY
2026-10-03 00:02:112.383.112.84
2026-10-03 00:42:102.383.112.84
2026-10-03 01:12:162.373.052.81
2026-10-03 01:12:172.423.302.90
2026-10-03 01:42:122.423.152.76
2026-10-03 02:12:122.423.152.76
2026-10-03 02:42:132.423.152.76
2026-10-03 03:12:122.353.102.71
2026-10-03 03:12:132.443.162.78
2026-10-03 03:42:122.423.152.76
2026-10-03 04:12:112.423.152.76
2026-10-03 04:42:132.403.102.74
2026-10-03 04:42:142.483.292.84
2026-10-03 05:12:132.423.152.76
2026-10-03 05:42:122.423.152.76
2026-10-03 06:12:122.423.152.76
2026-10-03 09:22:152.423.152.76
2026-10-03 09:52:152.423.152.76
2026-10-03 10:22:152.423.152.76
2026-10-03 10:52:162.423.132.76
2026-10-03 11:22:152.423.132.76
2026-10-03 11:52:162.423.132.76
2026-10-03 12:22:182.423.132.76
2026-10-03 12:52:132.423.132.76
2026-10-03 13:22:162.423.132.76
2026-10-03 13:52:152.423.132.76
2026-10-03 14:22:142.413.122.74
2026-10-03 14:22:152.453.202.87
2026-10-03 14:52:172.423.132.76
2026-10-03 15:32:172.423.132.76

상대전적 H2H

날짜홈결과원정
2026.10.04Deportes Santa Cruz1 : 2San Marcos de Arica
2026.02.21San Marcos de Arica1 : 1Deportes Santa Cruz